Level on eight points, Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club meet at the Estadio de Vallecas on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 1pm UK time. Rayo have found the net in every La Liga game this season, while Athletic arrive unbeaten in four and with a game in hand. Here is our full preview, with form, team news and the best bets for this Matchday 8 fixture.
Anthony Eadson’s Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club predictions, best bets and score prediction are below.
Premium Tips
Anthony Eadson has picked out two Premium Tips for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club, led by an outlier price on Sergio Camello and a value angle on the match result.
| Premium Tip | Odds | Why we’re backing it |
|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello over 1.5 fouls won | 19/20 (10bet) | 10bet are well clear of the market on Sergio Camello winning two or more fouls, with most bookmakers no bigger than 4/6. Rayo’s leading scorer draws contact constantly, winning 15 fouls in seven La Liga appearances and clearing this line in six of those games. He won three fouls in each of the matches against Sevilla, Alaves and Real Madrid, and he has won exactly two in each of his last two outings. On top of that, Camello has started the last six games, scoring seven goals in total, so he should again be the focal point of the Rayo attack. Take Camello to win over 1.5 fouls at 19/20. |
| Draw and both teams to score | 10/3 (bet365) | Both teams scoring looks the natural starting point, because Rayo have scored and conceded in every one of their seven La Liga matches. Their two draws this season both finished 1-1, against Alaves and at Osasuna last time out. Athletic Club, meanwhile, have drawn their last two games, 1-1 with Elche and 0-0 with Alaves, despite taking 42 shots across those matches. Rayo are also unbeaten in three home games, while Athletic have won one of their two away fixtures. With the last meeting at Rayo ending 1-1 in February, bet365’s 10/3 on a draw with both teams scoring appeals. |
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.
How Rayo Vallecano go into the game
Rayo Vallecano sit 12th on eight points after seven games, with two wins, two draws and three defeats. Last time out, they drew 1-1 at Osasuna on 19 September thanks to Sergio Camello’s 50th-minute goal. Before that, Alvaro Garcia and Adria Pedrosa scored in a 2-1 home win over Espanyol, which followed a 4-1 defeat at Real Madrid. Earlier in the campaign, Rayo beat Racing Santander 3-2 at home, lost 5-2 at Barcelona, drew 1-1 with Alaves and lost 2-1 at Sevilla. As a result, they have scored 11 goals but conceded 16.
Camello has been the standout, scoring seven of Rayo’s 11 league goals and finding the net in five of his seven appearances. However, Benat San Jose’s side will be without Augusto Batalla, who has a fractured tibia and is out until January, while Luiz Felipe has a muscle injury and Randy Nteka is a doubt. Jorge de Frutos and Fran Perez were both sent off against Racing Santander, though De Frutos returned from suspension at Osasuna. Elsewhere, Pathe Ciss has been booked in each of his last three games.
How Athletic Club go into the game
Athletic Club are 10th on eight points from six games, with a trip to Levante rearranged for 21 October. Last time out, they drew 0-0 with Alaves at San Mames on 19 September, despite having 24 shots and missing a penalty in the 70th minute. A week earlier, Inaki Williams scored late in a 1-1 home draw with Elche. Before that, Athletic beat Atletico Madrid 3-0 at home and won 2-0 at Celta Vigo, but the season started with a 3-1 home defeat to Sevilla and a 2-0 loss at Barcelona.
Edin Terzic has kept three clean sheets in six league games, and his side have conceded only six goals. That said, the attack has been less convincing, with seven goals scored and Robert Navarro the only player with more than one. Nico Williams is a major doubt after leaving the Spain camp on 1 October with left thigh discomfort, and Unai Egiluz is out until January with a ruptured cruciate ligament. In midfield, Oihan Sancet has started all six games and has taken 17 shots.
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club head-to-head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 | Athletic Club |
| 25/08/25 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 13/04/25 | Athletic Club | 3-1 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 01/12/24 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-2 | Athletic Club |
| 25/05/24 | Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 | Athletic Club |
Athletic Club have dominated this fixture recently, and they are unbeaten in the last eight league meetings with six wins and two draws. However, the most recent game finished 1-1 at Rayo in February 2026, ending a run of four straight Athletic victories. In fact, Athletic have scored 15 goals to Rayo’s five across those eight matches.
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello over 1.5 fouls won | 19/20 (10bet) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Two or more fouls won in six of seven La Liga games |
| Draw and both teams to score | 10/3 (bet365) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Rayo have scored and conceded in all seven league games |
| Oihan Sancet over 1.5 fouls won | 13/10 (10bet) | ⭐⭐ | Two or more fouls won in four of six starts |
| Sergio Camello to score anytime | 21/10 (bet365) | ⭐⭐ | Seven goals, scoring in five of seven appearances |
| Correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Club | 6/1 (Betfred) | ⭐⭐ | Last meeting and both of Rayo’s draws this season ended 1-1 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club score prediction
With Rayo scoring and conceding in every league game, and Athletic drawing their last two, this has the look of a closely fought contest. Nico Williams’ fitness issue also takes some threat away from the visitors, so we are siding with a share of the spoils in Madrid. Score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Club.
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