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Squawka / News / Parma vs Cagliari predictions and betting tips: Low-scoring stalemate on the cards

Parma vs Cagliari predictions and betting tips: Low-scoring stalemate on the cards

22 Aug · 19:45 Stadio Ennio Tardini · Serie A
7
Goals
12
12
Goals Conceded
7
10
Yellow Cards
13
26
Corners Won
17
73
Shots
69
41
Tackles Won
39
Parma Parma
1 - 1
Cagliari Cagliari
Serie A · 27 Feb 2026
Cagliari Cagliari
2 - 0
Parma Parma
Serie A · 13 Sep 2025
Cagliari Cagliari
2 - 1
Parma Parma
Serie A · 09 Feb 2025
Parma Parma
2 - 3
Cagliari Cagliari
Serie A · 30 Sep 2024
Cagliari Cagliari
4 - 3
Parma Parma
Serie A · 17 Apr 2021

Player stats will appear once the competition begins.

Parma Parma
  • Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder · Thigh Injury
  • Benjamín Cremaschi Midfielder · Knee Injury
  • Sascha Britschgi Defender · Yellow card accumulation suspension · 1 match
Cagliari Cagliari
  • Yael Trepy Attacker · Collapsed Lung
  • Paul Mendy Attacker · Groin Injury
  • Alessandro Deiola Midfielder · Thigh Injury
  • Sebastiano Esposito Attacker · Stress
  • Riyad Idrissi Defender · ACL Knee Injury · 2 | Out (0%)

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Parma vs Cagliari is a Serie A opener between two sides who spent last season near the foot of the table, and few goals are expected at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday, kicking off at 7.45pm (UK time).

Both Parma and Cagliari finished in the bottom half last season and this has the look of a cagey, cautious contest. Andy Francis has the best bets, a score prediction and the head-to-head record below.

Bet365 UK Parma VS Cagliari
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Premium Tips

Andy is playing the percentages, with everything about this fixture pointing to another tight, low-scoring affair.

Premium TipOddsWhy we’re backing it
Cagliari to win and under 2.5 goals9/2Cagliari have the psychological edge here, unbeaten in six meetings with Parma and winning four of them, including a 2-0 success at the Tardini last September. Parma’s finishing struggles were laid bare last season too, just 28 goals from 38 games as they scraped to 13th, and Serie A openers rarely produce goalmouth fireworks as both sides feel each other out early doors. Cagliari’s own attack isn’t much sharper, so backing the away win alongside under 2.5 goals captures both trends in a single price: the Sardinians’ strong recent record against this opponent, and the tight, low-scoring script this fixture keeps writing. At 9/2, that looks like value.
Alessandro Romano and Mariano Troilo to be booked12/1Troilo has previous when it comes to referees’ notebooks, six yellow cards and two reds in just 21 Serie A appearances for Parma last season, a rate that marks him out as one of the division’s more combative centre-backs, and he could be tasked with shackling Cagliari’s forwards for long spells here. Romano, meanwhile, arrives at Cagliari this summer on loan from Roma as a tenacious, ball-winning central midfielder still finding his feet in a new environment, exactly the profile likely to pick up an early caution while trying to make a mark in his first outings for the club. Two cards from these two feels well within reach at 12/1.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware — gambleaware.org · Odds correct at time of publishing.

How Parma go into the game

Parma finished 13th last season on 45 points, surviving comfortably enough but managing only 28 goals in the process. The Tardini can be a tough place to visit, yet chances have been at a premium for this side.

Grinding out results has been Parma’s way, and another low-scoring afternoon would suit them. They will need to be more clinical than they were for much of last season if they are to take three points.

How Cagliari go into the game

Cagliari ended last season 14th on 43 points, safe but rarely spectacular. They have, however, made a habit of getting the better of Parma, and travel with genuine confidence in this particular fixture.

Well organised and hard to beat, Cagliari will fancy their chances of at least a share of the spoils. Their recent record against Saturday’s hosts is excellent and gives them a psychological edge.

Parma vs Cagliari: 2025-26 by the numbers

Parma vs Cagliari head-to-head

DateHomeScoreAway
27/02/26Parma1-1Cagliari
13/09/25Cagliari2-0Parma
09/02/25Cagliari2-1Parma
30/09/24Parma2-3Cagliari
17/04/21Cagliari4-3Parma

Cagliari have the wood on Parma, who are without a win in the last six meetings between the sides. Four of those games went to the Sardinians.

Parma vs Cagliari predictions & betting tips

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Under 2.5 goals4/7⭐⭐⭐⭐Two low-scoring attacks meet on day one.
Cagliari or draw (Double Chance)8/15⭐⭐⭐Parma winless in six against them.
Both teams to score – No8/11⭐⭐⭐Goals have been scarce for both.
Draw2/1⭐⭐A share of the spoils looks likely.
Cagliari to win15/8⭐⭐The visitors’ H2H record is strong.

Parma vs Cagliari score prediction

Parma’s struggles in front of goal and Cagliari’s excellent recent record in this fixture point to a tight, tense affair. Honours even, with few clear chances, feels the most likely outcome. Score prediction: Parma 1-1 Cagliari.

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