New England Revolution vs Toronto FC predictions pit one of MLS’s form home sides against a team who have forgotten how to win. The Eastern Conference rivals meet in the early hours of Thursday 23rd July at Gillette Stadium. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:30am (UK time).
The contrast could hardly be sharper. New England sit fourth in the Eastern Conference with eight wins from 14 games, and they have drawn just once all season. Toronto are 12th, winless in nine league matches, and have conceded 29 goals in 15. The visitors did get a game under their belts after the World Cup break, drawing 0-0 at Montreal on Friday. For New England, this is a first fixture since 24th May.
New England Revolution vs Toronto FC predictions & betting tips
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Gil to score anytime | 15/8 @ Midnite (35%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Everything New England do runs through their No.10, and the market cannot agree on his price. Gil has five goals this season, including all three of the Revolution’s penalties, and has hit the target 12 times. He has started every league game and takes every set-piece worth taking. Toronto have conceded 29 goals in 15 matches, more than anyone above the Eastern Conference’s bottom three. With Betfair pricing Gil at just 11/10, the 15/8 available at Midnite is a huge outlier on the most reliable goal source in this fixture. |
| Luca Langoni to score or assist | 8/5 @ LeoVegas (38%) | ⭐⭐ | Langoni’s output deserves a shorter price than this. The winger has three goals and six assists in just 814 league minutes, a goal involvement every 90 minutes on the pitch. Only Gil matches his influence in this New England side, and with a goal or an assist both counting, his creativity gives the bet two ways to land. Most bookmakers price this around 10/11, which makes 8/5 with LeoVegas exceptional value. Against the most porous defence New England will have faced at home this season, Langoni’s involvement looks close to inevitable. |
Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
How both teams head into New England Revolution vs Toronto FC
New England Revolution
New England’s season has been built on decisiveness. Eight wins, five defeats and a single draw from 14 games is the profile of a team that settles matters, and most of the settling has happened at Gillette Stadium. The Revolution have won six of their last seven home league matches, with a 3-0 defeat to Nashville SC the only blemish.
Their last outing was a 1-0 defeat at Charlotte on 24th May, a reminder that the away form lags behind. But at home they have beaten Montreal, DC United, Columbus Crew, Charlotte, Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United this season, conceding sparingly throughout.
Gil pulls the strings with five goals and three assists, Langoni provides the spark, and Matt Turner has played every minute in goal behind a defence that has conceded 18 in 14. The two-month layoff is the only question mark hanging over Thursday.
Toronto FC
Toronto’s season stalled in early April and has never restarted. A 3-2 win over Colorado Rapids on 4th April remains their most recent victory. Nine league games have followed without a win, bringing five draws and four defeats, and a slide to 12th in the Eastern Conference.
Friday’s goalless draw at Montreal at least stopped the losses and gave Toronto match sharpness their hosts lack. There is talent in the side too. Daniel Salloi leads with four goals and three assists, while Josh Sargent has three goals from nine appearances since coming into the team.
The problem is defensive. Toronto have conceded 29 times in 15 matches, shipped three or more in four different games, and kept their first clean sheet in weeks only on Friday. Luka Gavran has been busy in goal all season.
New England Revolution team news
New England’s spine picks itself. Turner has started all 14 games in goal, Gil and Dor Turgeman have started every match, and Mamadou Fofana anchors the defence.
Leonardo Campana has made just two league appearances, scoring once.
Toronto FC team news
Toronto’s goalkeeper and captain are constants, with Gavran ever-present and Jonathan Osorio starting 14 games in midfield. Sargent’s arrival in the side has sharpened the attack, and his place looks secure after eight starts in nine appearances.
Walker Zimmerman has started 11 of 12 since establishing himself in the back line.
Head-to-Head
Honours are surprisingly even in this fixture. New England have won four of the last 10 meetings to Toronto’s three, with three draws, and the goals stand at 13-10 in the hosts’ favour. The quirk is the venue split. New England have won just one of the last five meetings at Gillette Stadium, drawing 1-1 there in September 2025, while their 2-0 win at BMO Field last May was their most convincing recent result in the fixture. Toronto have travelled well to Massachusetts. Little else about their season suggests it continues.
Which side will start the second half of the season with a win?
New England are favourites at a best price of 20/21 with Matchbook, with the general market at 5/6. Toronto can be backed at 3/1 with LeoVegas and Matchbook, and the draw is 14/5 with Betway and Matchbook. Given one side has drawn once in 14 games and the other has managed five draws in nine winless matches, something has to give.
We are siding with the home team’s match-winners. Gil at 15/8 to score anytime is our headline bet, a top price nearly double the 11/10 available elsewhere on a penalty-taking playmaker facing a leaky defence.
Langoni to score or assist at 8/5 completes the double. A goal involvement every 90 minutes is elite production, and the price with LeoVegas is comfortably bigger than the market average. Rusty or not, New England’s creators should find Toronto to their liking.
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