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Squawka / News / Wolves vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Wolves vs Leeds United: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Leeds United at Molineux in a clash where both sides are desperate for a turnaround. The hosts are rooted to the bottom of the table after four straight defeats, while Leeds, though outside the relegation zone, are wrestling with their own attacking issues. With kick-off set for 3:00 p.m. on Saturday, this fixture pits two teams against each other who must rectify early-season problems to avoid being drawn into a prolonged campaign of struggle.

Our Predictions for Wolves vs Leeds

Based on poor defensive records and limited attacking spark, our top betting recommendations focus on a low-scoring, nervy affair. We’re particularly confident in a bet on Under 2.5 Goals due to both teams’ lack of cutting edge so far (just 3 goals combined in 8 games). Here are our top picks for this match-up:

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Under 2.5 Goals8/11 @ Betway
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐A low-scoring affair is expected, given the just 3 combined goals these sides have scored in their 8 games. Furthermore Leeds’ Premier League games this season have seen fewer shots on target than any other side (19), with the Whites having the fewest (8) and facing the joint-third fewest attempts on target (11). 
Correct Score: 0-0

 

8/1 with Betway
(52.4%)

⭐⭐⭐After losing Matheus Cunha, Wolves have struggled to find goals this season. Both teams will be desperate not to lose this game, and it would be no surprise to see them both frustrated in the final third.     
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Wolves vs Leeds Odds

Odds correct at the time of writing.

How both teams go into Wolves vs Leeds

It has been a very disappointing start to the campaign for Wolves, who currently sit bottom of the Premier League table. The Old Gold have suffered four defeats from four matches so far and will be desperate to get their first points on the board this weekend. So far, Wolves have lost to Manchester City, Bournemouth, Everton, and most recently Newcastle, when they were beaten 1-0 at St James’ Park last weekend.

The main objective for Leeds United this season is surivial. Daniel Farke’s side got off the perfect start when they mustered a 1-0 win over Everton on the opening weekend, however since then, they are yet to score a goal and have taken one point from a possible nine.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Wolverhampton Wanderers20400429-70
Leeds United16411216-54

Wolves are propping up the table with no points and a worrying goal difference of -7, conceding over two per game. Leeds aren’t faring much better in attack, with just one goal from four matches, but have at least proved harder to break down with two clean sheets.

Wolves team news

Jorgen Strand Larsen is set to miss out with a heel injury, although he is expected to return for the end of the month. Leon Chiwome is another confirmed absentee, while Ki-Jana Hoever is a doubt.

Leeds team news

Dan James and Joel Piroe are both a doubt and will be assessed before kick-off. Goalkeeper Lucas Perri is out until October.

Potential Match-Winners

While neither side boasts a player among the league’s top scorers, here are a few names who could tip the balance:

  • Hee-Chan Hwang (Wolves) – Direct, pacy, and has a knack for finding space in the box. If Wolves are to score, he offers their best outlet.
  • Degnand Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds) – Offers dribbling and unpredictability; when Leeds do threaten, it’s often via his bursts into dangerous areas.
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen (Wolves) – Strong in the air and physical, could trouble a Leeds defence that hasn’t been massively tested yet.
  • Joël Piroe (Leeds) – Clinical at Championship level, looking for his first big Premier League impact here.

Head-to-Head

Last 10 Meetings

Recent history favours Wolves, who have won six of the last ten meetings, but Leeds have taken two of the last three, including a memorable 4-2 away victory in March 2023. Expect a closely-fought contest if the trend continues.

DateScoreCompetition
18/03/23Wolves 2-4 LeedsPremier League
09/11/22Wolves 1-0 LeedsLeague Cup
06/08/22Leeds 2-1 WolvesPremier League
18/03/22Wolves 2-3 LeedsPremier League
23/10/21Leeds 1-1 WolvesPremier League
19/02/21Wolves 1-0 LeedsPremier League
19/10/20Leeds 0-1 WolvesPremier League
07/03/18Leeds 0-3 WolvesChampionship
22/11/17Wolves 4-1 LeedsChampionship
17/04/17Leeds 0-1 WolvesChampionship

Conclusion

Wolverhampton Wanderers must find a way to stop the rot, but Leeds United’s defensive resilience and Wolves’ own struggles in front of goal suggest another frustrating outing for the hosts. Will Leeds extend Wolves’ misery at Molineux? Take Under 2.5 Goals at 8/11 with Betway (57.9%) for the best value on a low-scoring contest.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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