Sunday afternoon at Molineux sees a tense clash as Wolverhampton Wanderers, still searching for their first league win of the season, host a Burnley side who have hit the net more often but remain just above the drop zone.
Wolves’ struggles in front of goal and Burnley’s clinical finishing with limited chances set the stage for a fascinating encounter—one defined by efficiency versus endeavour. Kick-off is set for 2:00 PM and, with both managers under pressure, every point counts in this fight for early-season momentum.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on season-long inefficiency in Wolves’ attack and Burnley’s knack for making their rare chances count, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the Draw due to both sides’ low win rates and a history of close encounters.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 23/10 @ Bet365 (30.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Neither of these sides have set the league alight, with Burnley winning just twice this season and Wolves yet to register a victory. Four of the last 10 meetings between the sides have ended in a draw and there isn’t any form building for either side that indicates they’ll be taking all three points in this one. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 @ Betfair | ⭐⭐⭐ | Wolves have scored just five goals this season, the joint lowest in the league so far. This figure drops even lower when they play away from home, with just one goal scored away from Molineux. Burnley have scored more than their opponents this weekend but only average 1.12 goals per game. Neither side look prolific enough to trouble the goal line this weekend and we’re anticipating a low-scoring affair. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Wolves vs Burnley match odds
How both teams head into Wolves vs Burnley
Wolves are bottom of the Premier League, without a win this season and have conceded at a rate of two goals a game. It’s been a tough slog for the side but they’ve kept the faith with Vítor Pereira, who remains in charge at Molineux. There’s been a slight upturn in form for Wolves in recent weeks, with an EFL Cup win and two draws in the Premier League but they then followed that up with a defeat against Sunderland setting back any progress they had made.
Burnley have had their own struggles this season but these were alleviated with a victory over Leeds last weekend. That was Burnley’s second win of the season and left them just above the relegation places. Despite what looks like relatively poor form on the surface, if you dig a little deeper there are some positive aspects for the Clarets. They’ve pushed Liverpool and Man Utd all the way this season, whilst they’ve also taken points off Nottingham Forest and both of the sides that got promoted alongside them last season.
Wolves team news
There are no definite absentees for Wolves this weekend but there are doubts over Hee-Chan Hwang, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Leon Chiwome, who call all feature in some description this weekend.
Burnley team news
Zeki Amdouni is out until near the end of the season with an ACL injury, whilst it’ll be the new year when Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer return to the squad. Lyle Foster could be back this weekend, though.
Season Form & Standings
Both Wolves and Burnley are struggling in the bottom reaches of the table, with Wolves rock bottom and still searching for their first win. Burnley, while only three places above, have found ways to collect points with a more efficient attack.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Recent history leans slightly towards Burnley, but draws have been common—four in the last eleven overall. Only once in these recent meetings has either side managed more than two goals.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28/08/24 | Wolves 2-0 Burnley | League Cup |
| 02/04/24 | Burnley 1-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| 05/12/23 | Wolves 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| 24/04/22 | Burnley 1-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| 01/12/21 | Wolves 0-0 Burnley | Premier League |
Conclusion
Wolves’ inability to convert chances and Burnley’s surprising efficiency make this a tricky one to call. Will Wolves finally break their duck, or can Burnley continue to punch above their weight with another clinical display? The draw stands out, especially at 23/10 with Bet365 (30.3% implied probability), as the shrewdest play for punters looking for value in a clash between two sides desperate for momentum.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.