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Squawka / News / Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen face off in a high-stakes Bundesliga clash at the Volkswagen Arena, with both sides desperate for points as the season enters its final third.

Recent meetings between these two have been fiercely contested, with only one win separating them across their last 15 encounters. Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 21 March, where defensive frailties meet midfield control in a game that could have huge implications for the fight to avoid the drop.

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Werder Bremen Draw No Bet21/20 @ AK Bets
(48.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Werder Bremen Draw No Bet because they have kept 5 clean sheets this season (compared to Wolfsburg’s 1) and boast a better passing and possession game. Wolfsburg have the Bundesliga’s second-worst defensive record, conceding 56 goals in 26 matches. Bremen’s more robust defence and ability to control the midfield gives them the edge if this gets tight.
Over 2.5 Goals8/11 @ Bet365
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here due to Wolfsburg’s leaky defence (56 conceded) and an average of over 3 goals per game in the last six meetings between the sides. Both teams’ recent form points to a match where defences could be breached repeatedly, especially with Wolfsburg’s tendency to attack despite their vulnerabilities at the back.

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Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Both clubs are struggling in the lower reaches of the Bundesliga. Wolfsburg are 17th with only 21 points from 26 matches, while Werder Bremen are 15th on 25 points. The hosts have the league’s second-worst defence and just five wins all year. Bremen, while only four points ahead, have a more solid foundation at the back and have picked up more draws and clean sheets.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Wolfsburg172656153556-2121
Werder Bremen152667132947-1825

Potential Match-Winners

Neither side has a player in the Bundesliga’s top scorers this season, which underlines the team-centric approach of both attacks. Instead, this clash may be shaped by midfielders and defenders making key contributions on both ends of the pitch. For Wolfsburg, keep an eye on Lovro Majer and Patrick Wimmer for creativity and ball progression—they have driven much of the team’s attacking play, with Wolfsburg registering a healthy 35 goals despite their low xG (12.53). Over at Bremen, Marco Friedl marshals a defence that’s kept five clean sheets, and Romano Schmid is their main creative outlet in midfield, helping Bremen to a league possession average of over 52% and a pass accuracy of 82.6%.

Head-to-Head

Last 6 Meetings

The last six Bundesliga encounters between Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen have yielded three Bremen wins, two Wolfsburg victories and one draw, with goals at both ends a recurring theme.

DateScoreCompetition
07/11/25Werder Bremen 2-1 WolfsburgBundesliga
01/03/25Werder Bremen 1-2 WolfsburgBundesliga
20/10/24Wolfsburg 2-4 Werder BremenBundesliga
30/03/24Werder Bremen 0-2 WolfsburgBundesliga
05/11/23Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
28/01/23Werder Bremen 2-1 WolfsburgBundesliga

Conclusion: Will Bremen’s Defence Trump Wolfsburg’s Attack?

This clash is finely poised, with Wolfsburg’s attacking intent often undermined by a porous back line, while Werder Bremen’s defensive discipline and control in midfield could prove decisive. With neither team boasting a standout goal-scorer but Bremen showing a more balanced profile, we’re leaning towards Werder Bremen Draw No Bet at 21/20 (48.7%) with AK Bets as the standout value. Expect a lively contest, and with both teams regularly conceding, Over 2.5 Goals at 8/11 (57.9%) with Bet365 is also a tempting option.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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