West Bromwich Albion host Derby County at The Hawthorns, with kick-off scheduled for Saturday at 3:00pm. Both sides enter this encounter with contrasting fortunes: West Brom are flying high near the top of the table, while Derby County find themselves searching for their first win of their Sky Bet Championship campaign. Given Derby’s leaky defence and West Brom’s solid start, this match promises to shape the early narrative of their respective seasons.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in a West Brom victory given their defensive strength and Derby’s defensive woes. Player markets and team goals also offer value based on the numbers so far.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom to Win | 7/10 @ Bet365 (58.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | West Brom unbeaten, 75% win rate; Derby winless, leaky at the back. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Betfair (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Derby conceding 2.75 per game; both teams averaging over 3.2 goals combined per match. |
| Carlton Morris Anytime Goalscorer | 23/10 @ Betfred (30.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Morris has 4 in 4 for Derby, half the team’s goals so far. |
| Both Teams To Score | Evens @ SkyBet (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Derby score, concede for fun; BTTS in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings. |
Our approach: Start with West Brom to win, add Over 2.5 Goals or Morris to score for Bet Builder potential.
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date: West Brom have started brightly, sitting 2nd in the table with three wins and a draw, while Derby County languish in 21st after conceding a league-high 11 goals in just four matches. Here’s how they stack up:
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| Derby County | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 2 |
Form: West Brom (WDWW); Derby (DDLL).
Potential Match-Winners
- Carlton Morris (Derby County): 4 goals in 4 matches, responsible for over half of Derby’s total. His finishing ability is crucial to any hopes of an away upset.
- Joshua Maja (West Bromwich Albion): Leading the line for a West Brom side outshooting opponents (55 shots in 4 matches).
- West Brom Defence: Only 3 conceded in 4, with their keeper making just 8 saves – a sign of a well-drilled back line limiting chances.
Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings
Derby County have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, winning 7 of the last 11 encounters, while West Brom have only managed 1 win. However, recent games have been tighter, with the last clash ending all square.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 | West Brom 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| 21/04/25 | West Brom 1-3 Derby | Championship |
| 26/12/24 | Derby 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| 23/08/22 | Derby 1-0 West Brom | Carabao Cup |
| 27/12/21 | Derby 1-0 West Brom | Championship |
| 14/09/21 | West Brom 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| 08/07/20 | West Brom 2-0 Derby | Championship |
Conclusion
Will West Brom’s defensive steel and relentless shot creation see them claim all three points, or can Derby County’s Carlton Morris inspire a turnaround despite their defensive frailties? With the home side showing all the hallmarks of a promotion challenger and Derby leaking goals at an alarming rate, the smart money is on West Brom to prevail at 7/10 @ Bet365.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.