Union Berlin face Borussia Dortmund in a Bundesliga showdown that pits one of the division’s most efficient attacks against a home side struggling for consistency.
With Dortmund unbeaten in their last five league matches and boasting a dominant recent record in this fixture, all eyes turn to Stadion An der Alten Försterei as these two sides clash again on Saturday, 24 January, kick-off at 17:30. The visitors have their sights set on keeping pace at the top, while Union look for a statement result to reignite their campaign.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent attacking trends, defensive records, and head-to-head dominance, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a Dortmund away win due to their superior form, goal difference, and the gulf in both shot conversion and defensive solidity highlighted by season stats and recent meetings.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund to Win | 1/1 @ Betfair (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Dortmund have won 9 of the last 13 head-to-heads, including a 3-0 win earlier this season. Their 61% win rate and 18-goal positive difference make them strong favourites. |
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Union generate a high volume of shots (236) and have scored in all but two home league matches, while Dortmund’s attack ranks among the Bundesliga’s best. Recent meetings have seen both teams on the scoresheet. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Borussia Dortmund are flying high in 2nd place, with Union Berlin sitting mid-table in 9th. Dortmund’s record of just one defeat in 18 shows their consistency, while Union’s negative goal difference and split record (6W-6D-6L) underlines their unpredictability.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 39 |
| Union Berlin | 9 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 24 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Julian Brandt (Dortmund): 7 assists and 33 key passes this season. Vital for breaking down compact defences.
- Maximilian Beier (Dortmund): Averages 2.1 shots on target per 90, leading the line with pace and movement.
- Andrej Ilić (Union Berlin): Union’s main attacking threat, involved in over 30% of their goals, averaging 2.3 shots per match.
- Aljoscha Kemlein (Union Berlin): Consistent provider with a strong engine, ranks high for chances created among Union’s midfielders.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Dortmund have dominated this fixture, taking four of the last six Bundesliga encounters, including a comprehensive 3-0 win earlier this season.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 | Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 22/02/25 | Borussia Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 05/10/24 | Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 02/03/24 | Union Berlin 0-2 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 07/10/23 | Borussia Dortmund 4-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 08/04/23 | Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
Conclusion
Given Dortmund’s superior attacking efficiency, defensive resilience, and recent head-to-head record, it’s hard to look past them for the win. Union Berlin can make life awkward at home and create plenty of chances, but their conversion rate and defensive lapses leave them vulnerable. Will Union’s high shot volume finally pay off, or will Dortmund’s clinical edge and momentum carry them through? Our top tip: back Borussia Dortmund to win at 1/1 @ Betfair (50.0%) for the best blend of value and probability in this Bundesliga clash.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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