Roma travel to face Udinese at the Dacia Arena this weekend, with both sides needing points for very different reasons.
Roma have dominated this fixture in recent years and arrive in Udine boasting one of Serie A’s best defences, while Udinese have struggled to keep the goals out all season. Kick-off is set for Monday at 19:45, and this clash has all the makings of a classic attack-versus-defence battle.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Roma’s defensive strength, Udinese’s leaky back line, and standout attacking contributors, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Roma to win, as their head-to-head record and season stats offer a clear edge.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to Win | 15/8 @ Bet365 (34.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing Roma to win because they’ve claimed victory in 14 of the last 18 meetings, including each of the last three clashes. Roma have conceded just 13 goals in 22 games this season, while Udinese have shipped 34, the second-worst record in the division. |
| Matias Soule Anytime Assist | 5/2 @ SkyBet (28.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Soule has 4 assists in 22 games and leads Roma for creative output. Udinese’s defence is vulnerable, and Soule’s sharp passing (83.6% completion) makes him a strong candidate to set up a goal. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Roma’s consistency keeps them in the top three, while Udinese’s defensive struggles have anchored them in mid-table.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 3 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 43 |
| Udinese | 10 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 29 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Matias Soule (Roma): 6 goals, 4 assists, 38% shot accuracy, 83.6% pass accuracy – the chief creator and finisher for Roma.
- Keinan Davis (Udinese): 7 goals, 3 assists, 38% shot accuracy – Udinese’s main source of goals, averaging a goal contribution every 2 games.
- Arthur Atta (Udinese): 3 goals, 2 assists, 40.9% shot accuracy – brings creativity and finishing, making late runs into the box.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Roma have won five of the last six Serie A meetings with Udinese, conceding just twice in that run.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 | Roma 2-0 Udinese | Serie A |
| 26/01/25 | Udinese 1-2 Roma | Serie A |
| 22/09/24 | Roma 3-0 Udinese | Serie A |
| 25/04/24 | Udinese 1-2 Roma | Serie A |
| 26/11/23 | Roma 3-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| 16/04/23 | Roma 3-0 Udinese | Serie A |
Conclusion
Can Roma’s defensive discipline and clinical finishing prove too much for an Udinese side that have struggled to keep the back door shut all season? Roma have the recent head-to-head record, the stronger league position, and an attack led by Soule in top creative form. Backing Roma to win at 15/8 with Bet365 (34.5% implied probability) looks the smartest play in this fixture.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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