Udinese host Genoa in a mid-table Serie A showdown that pits two evenly matched sides with plenty to prove.
With kick-off set for Monday at the Dacia Arena, both clubs will be eyeing a much-needed boost after inconsistent starts to the campaign. Udinese have fared slightly better in recent meetings and in the current standings, but Genoa’s underlying numbers hint at untapped potential—making this a fixture where the margins could be wafer-thin.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the current season’s stats and recent head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Udinese vs Genoa. We’re particularly confident in Udinese to win at home, given their stronger form and the visitors’ struggles to convert chances. Expect a closely fought contest, but the data leans in favour of the hosts.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese to Win | 7/5 @ Bet365 (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backing because Udinese have double Genoa’s wins this term and a stronger home record in H2H. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 8/15 @ Bet365 (65.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Value here due to both teams averaging just over a goal a game, recent matches low-scoring. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Udinese have established themselves in the top half, while Genoa are hovering above the drop zone. Udinese’s 38% win rate is bolstered by a solid attack (14 goals), but their defence remains leaky. Genoa, meanwhile, have found victories hard to come by, despite creating quality chances.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 9 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| Genoa | 16 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Keinan Davis (Udinese): 4 goals, 42.9% shot accuracy, and 66.7% successful take-ons. Davis has the power to turn half-chances into goals, making him one to watch.
- Nicolo Zaniolo (Udinese): 4 goals, 38.5% shot accuracy, 83.4% pass success. Zaniolo’s direct running and link play are crucial for Udinese’s attacking rhythm.
- Leo Skiri Ostigard (Genoa): 3 goals from defence, 60% shot accuracy, 88.2% pass accuracy, and a perfect take-on record. Ostigard is a rare threat at both ends of the pitch.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Udinese have the edge historically, with 6 wins to Genoa’s 3 and 6 draws from their last 15 encounters. Recent meetings suggest little separates these sides, with a mix of tight draws and narrow victories.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/04/25 | Genoa 1-0 Udinese | Serie A |
| 01/12/24 | Udinese 0-2 Genoa | Serie A |
| 24/02/24 | Genoa 2-0 Udinese | Serie A |
| 01/10/23 | Udinese 2-2 Genoa | Serie A |
| 22/01/22 | Genoa 0-0 Udinese | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Udinese’s attacking duo of Davis and Zaniolo deliver again, or can Genoa’s Ostigard inspire an away upset? With home advantage and slightly superior form, Udinese are well placed to take the points, but Genoa have shown they can be stubborn opponents in recent meetings. Our top selection remains Udinese to win at 7/5 (41.7%) with Bet365.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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