Udinese welcome Fiorentina for a mid-table Serie A clash that looks much closer than the league standings suggest.
Despite Udinese sitting higher in the table, Fiorentina have dominated the recent head-to-head record and will be desperate to end their poor run of form. Kick-off is set for Monday at the Bluenergy Stadium, with both sides searching for a performance that could define their season’s trajectory.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent trends and season-long stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net, given their defensive records and attacking efficiency, while value can also be found in the goalscorer market.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score: Yes | 8/11 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides have conceded 39 goals in 26 games (1.5 per game) and are more potent in attack than defence. Udinese’s shot accuracy (34.6%) and Fiorentina’s high shot volume suggest both will create chances. 3 of the last 5 meetings have seen both teams score. |
| Moise Kean to score anytime | 5/1 @ Bet365 (16.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Kean is Fiorentina’s top scorer with 8 goals and is outperforming his expected goals. Udinese have managed just 5 clean sheets all season. At generous odds, Kean is the likeliest goal threat for the visitors. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets with Bet365
Not signed up to bet365 yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...
- Open an account (here's a link)
- Make a qualifying deposit of between £5* and £10*
- Claim the offer to receive three times your deposit in 'Free Bets'.
- To release your 'Free Bets', place qualifying bets to the value of your qualifying deposit and allow those bets to settle.
- Your 'Free Bets' will become available shortly after your qualifying bets have settled
- To use your 'Free Bets', select 'Use bet credits' in the bet slip.
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Season Form & Standings
Udinese have found more consistency and sit 11th, but their negative goal difference underlines defensive frailty. Fiorentina’s poor win rate (19%) keeps them just above the drop zone, despite scoring at a similar rate and matching Udinese for goals conceded.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
| Fiorentina | 16 | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 24 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Nicolo Zaniolo (Udinese): Showing a knack for converting tough chances with five goals and also chipping in with creativity.
- Moise Kean (Fiorentina): 8 goals in 23 matches, 6.79 xG, but a shot accuracy of just 27.7%. His finishing has outpaced expectation, and he’s the go-to man for Fiorentina’s attack.
- Adam Buksa (Udinese): While not leading the charts, Buksa’s presence as a secondary striker will be key in disrupting Fiorentina’s backline.
- Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina): Often deployed behind Kean, Gudmundsson creates space and chances, and is a threat from range.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Fiorentina have won four of the last six encounters, including a dominant 5-1 victory earlier this season. Udinese took the spoils once, with one match drawn. Goals have flowed – 22 scored across those six matches.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 | Fiorentina 5-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| 25/05/25 | Udinese 2-3 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 23/12/24 | Fiorentina 1-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| 14/01/24 | Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| 24/09/23 | Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 14/05/23 | Fiorentina 2-0 Udinese | Serie A |
Conclusion: Will Udinese End Fiorentina’s Hoodoo?
Despite Udinese’s higher league position, Fiorentina’s recent head-to-head record gives them a psychological edge. However, both teams’ leaky defences and strong attacking figures point towards goals at both ends. The data backs Both Teams To Score at 8/11 (57.9%) with Bet365 as the best value bet, while Moise Kean’s scoring form could swing things for the visitors if he finds his feet again. Expect an open contest where neither side is likely to settle for a draw.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
