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Squawka / News / Switzerland vs Germany: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Switzerland vs Germany: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Switzerland and Germany will clash in a friendly on Friday evening with both hoping to build some momentum ahead of the 2026 World Cup.

Switzerland come into the fixture off the back of a 10 game unbeaten run, while Germany have won their last five matches ending a run of three straight defeats. Who will come out on top at St. Jakob-Park in Basel?

Best Bets & Predictions

With both nations being in fine goalscoring form, we’re backing both teams to find the net as our main tip but if you’re looking for increased value we’re keen on Germany to win and over 3.5 goals at a higher price.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both teams to score11/20 @ Ladbrokes
(64.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Both teams to score looks likely: recent head-to-head meetings finished 1-1, 3-3 and 1-1, showing consistent scoring from both sides. Matches average 3.75 goals, while BTTS has landed in the last four meetings between the two sides. Switzerland average 1.86 goals and Germany 1.93, reinforcing strong attacking output from both teams.
Germany to win and over 3.5 goals11/2 @ Betway
(15.4%)
⭐⭐⭐Germany to win and over 3.5 goals looks strong: head-to-head matches average 3.75 goals, with scorelines like 3-3 and 5-3 common. Germany average 1.93 goals scored, while Switzerland average 1.86, indicating high attacking output on both sides . Germany’s superior win rate adds edge.

Odds correct at the time of writing.


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Recent Form

Switzerland arrive in solid form across their last six matches, remaining unbeaten with four wins and two draws. They’ve scored 13 goals (2.17 per game) while conceding just four, keeping three clean sheets. Recent results include 4-0 and 3-0 wins in World Cup qualifying, highlighting attacking efficiency and defensive stability. BTTS has landed in only two of those six matches, underlining their defensive control. Their average total goals per game sits around 2.8, showing balanced output rather than chaotic games. Overall, Switzerland combine consistent scoring with a strong defensive record, making them difficult to beat and tactically reliable.

Germany’s recent form across their last six matches has been good and high-scoring. They’ve recorded five wins and a single defeat, scoring 16 goals (2.66 per game) while conceding just three. Notably, five of their last six matches saw over 1.5 goals, and 50% went over 2.5, highlighting open, attacking games.

However, broader form trends are stronger. Germany have averaged around 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match across recent competitions, with a 60% win rate and 3.3 total goals per game.

Overall, Germany combine elite attacking output with improving defensive solidity, though occasional lapses mean high-scoring outcomes remain a consistent theme.

Switzerland team news

Switzerland have a relatively settled squad but do have a key injury concern ahead of the friendly with Germany. Midfielder Filip Ugrinić has withdrawn from the squad due to injury, with Noah Okafor called up as his replacement, slightly altering their attacking options .

Otherwise, the Swiss squad remains strong and largely consistent, with first-choice players available across defence and midfield. There are no widespread injury issues reported, suggesting good continuity and selection stability. This allows Switzerland to field a near full-strength side, with only minor disruption to squad depth rather than the starting XI.

Germany team news

Germany’s squad has been disrupted by several key absences ahead of the friendly with Switzerland. Jamal Musiala is ruled out due to an ongoing ankle issue, while Aleksandar Pavlović (hip) and Felix Nmecha (knee) have also withdrawn through injury.

There are further concerns, with Jamie Leweling leaving camp injured and Nathaniel Brown doubtful . However, Kai Havertz returns from injury, and new call-ups like Jonas Urbig and Lennart Karl add freshness to the squad.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

The last six meetings between these two sides have swung in the favour of Germany, with two wins compared to Switzerland’s single victory. Interestingly, the last three meetings have ended in draws with both sides scoring in five of the last six.

DateScoreCompetition
23/06/24Switzerland 1-1 GermanyEuropean Championships
13/10/20Germany 3-3 SwitzerlandNations League
06/09/20Switzerland 1-1 GermanyNations League
26/05/12Switzerland 5-3 GermanyFriendly
26/03/08Switzerland 0-4 GermanyFriendly
07/02/07Germany 3-1 SwitzerlandFriendly

Conclusion: Who picks up a friendly win?

Switzerland and Germany clash in Basel on Friday night with both sides looking for the edge ahead of the upcoming World Cup. We’re backing both teams to score at 11/20 with Ladbrokes but, when looking for a little more value on prices, we like the look of Germany to win and over 3.5 goals at 11/2 with Betway.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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