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Squawka / News / Sweden vs Greece: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sweden vs Greece: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sweden and Greece go head-to-head in an international friendly on Thursday as the former wrap up their pre-2026 World Cup preparations. The hosts will be keen to return to winning ways following a 3-1 defeat to Norway on Monday, while Greece travel hoping to end a three-game winless run ahead of Sunday’s friendly with Italy.

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Sweden to win & BTTS10/3 @ bet365
(23.1%)
⭐⭐⭐Sweden look the more likely winners given their home advantage and greater attacking threat, but Greece have enough quality going forward to get on the scoresheet themselves. The visitors have proven difficult to keep quiet in recent outings, while Sweden’s defensive record has been far from flawless, creating the conditions for both teams to find the net in a home victory.
Alexander Isak to score anytime7/4 @ Sky Bet
(36.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Alexander Isak looks well placed to add to his international tally after finding the net in Sweden’s 3-1 defeat to Norway on Monday. The Liverpool striker remains his country’s primary attacking threat and is likely to see plenty of involvement in the final third, making him an appealing anytime goalscorer selection against Greece.

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How both teams go into Sweden vs Greece

Sweden head into this friendly looking to bounce back from Monday’s 3-1 defeat to Norway, a result that exposed some defensive vulnerabilities despite Alexander Isak’s consolation goal. Under Graham Potter, there has been a clear emphasis on controlled possession, tactical flexibility and building attacks through structured patterns of play, with Sweden aiming to make better use of the technical quality available throughout the squad. While there have been positive signs in their attacking play, improving consistency at both ends of the pitch remains a priority, making this another valuable test ahead of this month’s tournament.

Greece make the trip to Sweden still searching for a first victory in four matches, with their failure to qualify for the 2026 World Cup continuing to cast a shadow over recent performances. The visitors have generally remained difficult to break down thanks to their disciplined defensive structure, but a lack of cutting edge in the final third has often prevented them from turning competitive displays into positive results. This fixture presents an opportunity to regain some confidence, though they will need to show greater attacking ambition if they are to trouble a Sweden side boasting significantly more firepower.

Head to Head: Last 5 Results

DateResultCompetition
12/10/21Sweden 2-0 GreeceFIFA World Cup
08/09/21Greece 2-1 SwedenFIFA World Cup
10/06/08Greece 0-2 SwedenUEFA European Championship
20/08/03Sweden 1-2 GreeceInternational Friendly
13/02/02Greece 2-2 SwedenInternational Friendly

Will Sweden jet off to North America on a win?

The ingredients are in place for an entertaining encounter, with Sweden eager to respond to their recent setback and Greece looking to halt a winless run of their own. While the visitors are usually competitive and organised, the hosts appear to possess greater quality in attacking areas, particularly with Alexander Isak leading the line. Greece should still have opportunities to make an impact going forward against a Sweden defence that has shown vulnerabilities, but home advantage and superior firepower could ultimately prove decisive. That makes a Sweden win with both teams finding the net an appealing angle, while Isak’s goalscoring abilities leave him well positioned to make the difference once again.

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