Saturday evening sets a high-stakes Bundesliga clash at the Mercedes-Benz Arena as Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund go head-to-head n Saturday, 4 April (kick off: 17:30).
Eight points separates the visitors in 2nd from the hosts in 3rd, with the outcome of this game having potentially huge implications for leaders Bayern Munich.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, attacking stats, and defensive records, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the Over 3.5 Goals market due to both clubs’ high shot volume and scoring rates this season.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 Goals | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average more than two goals scored per game and have combined for a remarkable 114 goals in 27 matches each. Stuttgart lead the league in shots per match (nearly 15), while Dortmund are only slightly behind. Three of the last five meetings have also produced four or more goals. |
| Stuttgart to Win | 7/5 @ Betfair (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Stuttgart have won two of the last three head-to-heads and boast the Bundesliga’s best possession stats (58.7%). At home, their attacking output is impressive, and Deniz Undav is in scoring form. Dortmund’s away record is strong, but Stuttgart’s ball dominance could tip the balance. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 7/4 @ Bet365 (36.4%) | ⭐⭐ | Although these sides have firepower, Dortmund’s defensive record (just 28 conceded) and 12 clean sheets make a case for a shutout at one end. This is a value pick for those seeking a riskier angle at a generous price. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
With 27 rounds played, Borussia Dortmund sit second and Stuttgart third, both chasing runaway leaders Bayern. Stuttgart have closed the gap with strong recent form, while Dortmund have relied on defensive solidity to maintain their edge.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 1 | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97 | 25 | +72 | 70 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58 | 28 | +30 | 61 |
| Stuttgart | 3 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 36 | +20 | 53 |
Potential Match-Winners
Deniz Undav (Stuttgart)
He holds a record of 18 goals in 23 appearances (0.78 per game), carries five assists, a shot accuracy of 39%, and remains Stuttgart’s main goal threat. He’s averaging nearly 3 shots per match and is central to their attacking play.
Julian Ryerson (Borussia Dortmund)
With 12 assists in 19 games (0.63 per game), plus 45 key passes, his creativity from wide areas and passing accuracy (83%) are pivotal to Dortmund’s attack.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
The last five encounters have been tight, with Stuttgart edging three wins to Dortmund’s two, and one draw. Goals have flowed freely, with 27 for Stuttgart and 33 for Dortmund in the last 15 meetings. Recent results underline how unpredictable this fixture can be.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 | Borussia Dortmund 3-3 Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 08/02/25 | Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 22/09/24 | Stuttgart 5-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 06/04/24 | Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| 11/11/23 | Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
Can Dortmund Stay Within the Title Race?
Will Stuttgart’s home advantage and possession-based style overcome Dortmund’s defensive strengths? With both clubs boasting attacking firepower and a recent history of high-scoring encounters, this promises to be a compelling match. Our strongest recommendation is Over 3.5 Goals at 11/10 (47.6%) – value for those expecting another open, entertaining contest. For those seeking a bigger price, the outright win for Stuttgart at 7/5 (41.7%) also stands out.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.