St Pauli and Werder Bremen square off in a high-stakes relegation clash in the Bundesliga this weekend. Kick-off is at 4:30pm (UK time) on Sunday 22nd February at the Millerntor-Stadion.
Best bets & predictions
Based on recent stats and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in the Both Teams to Score market due to both sides’ leaky defences and attacking intent.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 20/21 @ AkBets (51.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides have conceded at least 39 goals in 22 games, with St Pauli keeping just three clean sheets and Bremen only four. The attacking output is similar (20 vs 22 goals) and both have key creators in form, suggesting goals at both ends. |
| Werder Bremen to Win | 7/4 @ Bet365 (36.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Bremen have won two of the last three meetings without conceding and edge St. Pauli in both recent results and creative output (more assists, higher pass accuracy). Their slight attacking edge and better H2H record make them a value play. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
St Pauli vs Werder Bremen odds
Season form & standings
2025-26 season to date: Both clubs are in the thick of the relegation scrap. Werder Bremen sit 16th with 19 points, just two ahead of St Pauli in 17th. They’ve both won just four matches, but Bremen’s ability to scrape an extra draw or two keeps them above the drop zone for now.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 16 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 19 |
| St. Pauli | 17 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 17 |
Potential match-winners
- Jens Stage (Werder Bremen): Stands out with six goals and 15 chances created in 20 appearances, averaging a goal involvement every 1.3 games. His dual threat as a scorer and creator makes him Bremen’s key man.
- Danel Sinani (St. Pauli): Leads his team with four goals and two assists, topping St Pauli’s charts for Expected Assists and chance creation (27). Sinani is involved in most of St Pauli’s best attacking moves.
- Romano Schmid (Werder Bremen): Five assists and 60 chances created underline his role as Bremen’s main creative force.
- Nikola Vasilj (St. Pauli): The busiest galkeeper on display, racking up 75 saves over 22 matches, and keeping his side in games despite a porous defence.
Head-to-head:
Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their past eight games against St Pauli across all competitions. They’ve won two of the past three in the Bundesliga — including a 1-0 win earlier this season.
Last six meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 | Werder Bremen 1-0 St Pauli | Bundesliga |
| 27/04/25 | Werder Bremen 0-0 St Pauli | Bundesliga |
| 14/12/24 | St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 09/04/22 | St Pauli 1-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| 30/10/21 | Werder Bremen 1-1 St Pauli | Bundesliga |
| 23/04/11 | St Pauli 1-3 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
Conclusion: Will Bremen’s H2H hold despite defensive woes?
Both sides are under pressure, but Werder Bremen’s recent dominance in this fixture and their slightly better creative stats make them justifiable favourites. However, the defensive frailties on both sides point to a lively affair, and the Both Teams to Score market at 20/21 with AkBets (51.3%) stands out as a strong selection for this must-win clash.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
