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Squawka / News / St Pauli vs Stuttgart: predictions, stats, tips & odds

St Pauli vs Stuttgart: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Struggling St Pauli face high-flying Stuttgart in a clash that pits one of the Bundesliga‘s most creative and dominant attacks against a side desperate for points at the wrong end of the table.

Stuttgart, currently in the top four, make the trip north with the league’s fourth-best record, while St Pauli are mired in the drop zone. Kick-off is at 14:30 on Saturday 7 February at the Millerntor-Stadion, and the visitors arrive with a clear edge in recent form and attacking output.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Stuttgart’s superior attacking metrics and St Pauli’s defensive frailties, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Stuttgart to win, given their remarkable record in front of goal and St Pauli’s ongoing struggles at both ends of the pitch.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Stuttgart to Win8/11 @ BetVictor
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Stuttgart have more than double the goals of St Pauli this season and rank among the league’s best for chances created and assists. St Pauli’s defensive record is among the worst, and Stuttgart have already beaten them once this campaign.
Both Teams to Score – No11/10 @ Matchbook
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐Only one goal has been scored by St Pauli across the last three meetings, and they have failed to find the net in two of those. Stuttgart have kept eight clean sheets this season, while St Pauli have only scored 18 in 20 matches.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Stuttgart have surged into the upper reaches of the Bundesliga thanks to their potent attack and impressive ball control, while St Pauli find themselves battling to avoid relegation. Here’s how the two sides stand after 20 matches:

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Stuttgart42012353726+1139
St Pauli172035121834-1614

Stuttgart have won 60% of their matches and boast a +11 goal difference, while St Pauli’s win rate is just 15% with a goal difference of -16.

Potential Match-Winners

  • Deniz Undav (Stuttgart): Leads the line with 11 goals, 3 assists and an exceptional 19 big chance assists. Undav averages 4.4 shots and 4.4 penalty area touches per game, and is involved in almost every major attacking move for Stuttgart.
  • Ermedin Demirovic (Stuttgart): Five goals and a shot accuracy of 50%. Offers a direct threat and can convert when given a chance.
  • Danel Sinani (St Pauli): Three goals from 20 games, but with only 0.2 assists per game and a shot accuracy of 50%. He remains St Pauli’s main hope up front but lacks the supply line enjoyed by the opposition’s forwards.

Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings

These sides have met only three times in recent seasons, with Stuttgart winning two and St Pauli one. Goals have been at a premium, with just four scored in total across these matches.

DateScoreCompetition
19/09/25Stuttgart 2-0 St PauliBundesliga
03/05/25St Pauli 0-1 StuttgartBundesliga
21/12/24Stuttgart 0-1 St PauliBundesliga

Will Stuttgart’s attacking power prove too much for St Pauli?

Stuttgart’s blend of creativity, finishing and control make them clear favourites on both current form and season-long stats. St Pauli have struggled to stem the tide defensively and lack a consistent goal threat. All signs point to another strong away performance from Stuttgart, and we’re backing them to take the points at 8/11 with BetVictor (57.9% implied probability).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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