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Squawka / News / Spain vs Georgia: prediction, stats, odds and tips

Spain vs Georgia: prediction, stats, odds and tips

Spain host Georgia at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in Elche on Saturday, 11 October, in a key World Cup qualifying clash from Group E. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:45 CEST. Spain will aim to extend their perfect start in qualification, while Georgia look to build on momentum and pick up some vital points.

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Spain to Win & Over 3.5 goals11/10 @ SBK
(47.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐This bet has landed in the last four meetings between Spain and Georgia with the most recent of those being at Euro 2024 when La Roja came out 4-1 winners. Spain may be lacking their star names, but so are Georgia. A high scoring contest looks likely, with the hosts proving why they are favourite to lift the trophy next summer
Mikel Merino to score anytime11/5 @ SBK
(31.3%)
⭐⭐Mikel Merino has emerged as one of Spain’s standout performers in this qualifying campaign, proving his eye for goal from midfield. The Real Sociedad star followed up his strike against Bulgaria with a sensational hat-trick in Spain’s 6-0 demolition of Turkey, underlining his ability to time late runs into the box and finish with precision. His recent form suggests he’s becoming a key attacking weapon for La Roja — not just a playmaker, but a genuine goal threat every time he pushes forward.
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How both teams head into Spain vs Georgia

Spain have made a statement in Group E, winning their first two matches — 3-0 over Bulgaria and 6-0 against Turkey — while keeping clean sheets in both. They lead the group with six points, three clear of Georgia.

Georgia enter this match sitting second in the group, level on points with Turkey but behind Spain. They began qualification with a narrow 3-2 defeat to Turkey but bounced back with an emphatic 3-0 win over Bulgaria in their second match.

Spain team news

With some absences to manage (e.g. Dean Huijsen has withdrawn through injury, and Aymeric Laporte is called in as cover), Luis de la Fuente must adapt his defensive options. Key attacking figures such as Mikel Merino, Ferran Torres, Pedri, and Oyarzabal are expected to spearhead Spain’s push for a third consecutive qualifying win.

Georgia team news

Georgia’s squad includes standout talents like Georges Mikautadze and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (if fit) who will be expected to carry much of the attacking burden. Georgia aim to remain compact, confident, and opportunistic when breaks appear.

Head to head: Last 5 meetings

DateScoreCompetition
30/06/2024Spain 4-1 GeorgiaEuropean Championship
19/11/2023Spain 3-1 GeorgiaEuropean Championship Qualifier
08/09/2023Georgia 1-7 SpainEuropean Championships Qualifier
05/09/2021Spain 4-0 GeorgiaWorld Cup qualifying
28/03/2021Georgia 1-2 SpainWorld Cup qualifying

Conclusion

Spain enter this fixture as strong favourites, backed by form, depth, and historical dominance over Georgia. The visitors will be disciplined and look for chances on the break, but Spain’s attacking quality should be decisive. Expect Spain to control most of the match and score multiple goals, though Georgia may get on the scoresheet.

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