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Squawka / News / Sheffield United vs Derby: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sheffield United vs Derby: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sheffield United return to Bramall Lane for a crucial Championship clash against Derby County, with both sides looking to ignite their seasons after underwhelming starts. The 3:00 PM kick-off on Saturday puts the spotlight on two teams separated by just five points but heading into the match with contrasting recent fortunes and a long-standing head-to-head rivalry that has largely favoured the Blades. Can Derby County break their away-day duck, or will Sheffield United continue their dominance in this fixture?

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on recent head-to-head trends and current season stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a home win for Sheffield United, given their historical record and Derby’s away woes. Value also stands out in the Both Teams To Score market, given defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Sheffield United to Win4/5 @ Bet365
(55.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Won 6 of last 9 vs Derby; strong home record in H2H clashes.
Correct Score 1-05/1 @ Bet365
(16.7%)
⭐⭐Recent H2Hs often tight; four 1-0 wins for Blades in last nine meetings.
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Our approach: Start with Sheffield United to win, then add BTTS for accumulator value.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date. Sheffield United have struggled for consistency, sitting 22nd with just 9 points from 12 matches (W3 D0 L9, GD -11). Derby County fare slightly better in 17th with 14 points (W3 D5 L4, GD -3). Neither side is in sparkling form, but Derby have shown a little more resilience, racking up five draws.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sheffield United2212309920-119
Derby County17123541316-314

Head-to-Head: Last 9 Meetings

Sheffield United have dominated this fixture, winning six of the last nine encounters, including five at Bramall Lane. Derby County have failed to win away in this run. Most matches have been closely fought, with the Blades often edging tight contests.

DateScoreCompetition
01/02/25Derby 0-1 Sheffield UnitedChampionship
21/09/24Sheffield United 1-0 DerbyChampionship
15/01/22Derby 2-0 Sheffield UnitedChampionship
25/09/21Sheffield United 1-0 DerbyChampionship
24/08/21Sheffield United 2-1 DerbyChampionship
26/12/18Sheffield United 3-1 DerbyChampionship
20/10/18Derby 2-1 Sheffield UnitedChampionship
01/01/18Derby 1-1 Sheffield UnitedChampionship
26/08/17Sheffield United 3-1 DerbyChampionship

Conclusion: Will History Repeat Itself?

Sheffield United’s recent head-to-head superiority and home advantage make them the natural choice, despite their worrying league form and poor conversion in front of goal. Derby County’s defensive resilience is an improvement, but their away record and limited attacking edge against the Blades are hard to ignore. Expect a tight contest, but we’re backing Sheffield United to edge it—make the most of 4/5 @ Betfred (55.6%) for the home win.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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