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Squawka / News / Sevilla vs Celta Vigo: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Sevilla welcome Celta de Vigo to the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, with both sides locked on 24 goals for the season but separated by momentum and defensive records. Monday’s 8:00 PM kick-off offers a high-stakes La Liga contest, as Celta arrive six places above their hosts in the table. With recent head-to-heads swinging back and forth, all eyes are on whether Sevilla’s slightly better attacking creativity can overcome Celta’s pass mastery and relative defensive solidity.

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Best Bets & Predictions

Based on this season’s output and head-to-head trends, our top betting recommendations focus on narrow margins and individual brilliance. We’re particularly confident in Both Teams to Score, given that these sides have produced goals in their recent clashes and boast attacking efficiency. Here are our top picks:

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams to Score (Yes)11/13 @ Bet365
(54.2%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Value here due to both teams scoring in 4 of last 5 H2Hs and identical seasonal goal tallies.
    
Borja Iglesias (Celta) to Score Anytime15/8 @ SkyBet
(34.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backing because Iglesias leads all scorers (7 goals) and outperforms xG; Sevilla’s defence has leaked 29 in 18.
    


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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date

While both teams have hit 24 goals, Celta de Vigo’s defensive edge and ability to avoid defeat (just 4 losses, compared to Sevilla’s 9) have propelled them to 7th place with 26 points. Sevilla, despite creative intent, sit 11th and are hampered by a -5 goal difference. Both teams have won 6 of their 18 matches, but Celta’s 8 draws highlight their resilience.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Celta de Vigo7186842420426
Sevilla11186392429-520

Potential Match-Winners

  • Borja Iglesias (Celta): 7 goals from 4.2 xG, outperforming expected returns, with a 40% shot accuracy and 75.2% pass accuracy. Main threat in the box.
  • Ruben Vargas (Sevilla): Top scorer and creator for Sevilla (3 goals, 4 assists), 11 big chance assists, involved in nearly every attacking phase for the hosts.
  • Isaac Romero (Sevilla): 3 goals, 3.25 xG, 35.3% shot accuracy. Quietly efficient and could be key if Sevilla are to edge it.
  • Javier Rueda (Celta): 3 assists, 4 big chance assists, and strong defensive contribution. Key link for Celta in both phases.

Head-to-Head

Across their last 18 meetings, Sevilla have won 8 and Celta 5, with 5 draws. Recent encounters have seen goals at both ends and closely fought scorelines.

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
10/05/25Celta de Vigo 3-2 SevillaLa Liga
14/12/24Sevilla 1-0 Celta de VigoLa Liga
17/03/24Sevilla 1-2 Celta de VigoLa Liga
04/11/23Celta de Vigo 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
07/04/23Sevilla 2-2 Celta de VigoLa Liga

Conclusion

Will Sevilla’s creative spark make the difference, or does Celta’s compactness and the form of Borja Iglesias tip the balance? With both teams evenly matched in attack but Celta holding the defensive edge, the value lies in goals at both ends and the league’s most in-form striker to strike again. Our pick: Both Teams to Score at 11/13 (54.2%) with Bet365 stands out, while Borja Iglesias to score anytime is a worthy addition for those chasing higher returns.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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