Roma host Pisa at Stadio Olimpico on Friday, 10 April, with kick-off at 19:45.
It’s a meeting of two sides at opposite ends of the Serie A table—Roma pushing for Europe, Pisa fighting to stay afloat. After a narrow 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, Roma will be looking to flex their considerable attacking muscle against the league’s bottom side.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Roma’s dominant attacking data, Pisa’s defensive struggles, and clear shot and chance creation advantages, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Roma to win and a clean sheet due to their strong defensive record and Pisa’s goal-scoring woes.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to Win | 1/3 @ Bet365 (75.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Roma have won the last meeting and boast a 55% win rate this season. Pisa are bottom, with just 2 wins in 31 and a -32 goal difference. Roma’s shot and xG superiority makes the home win a strong selection. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Roma average just 1.35 goals per game, Pisa only 0.74. The reverse fixture ended 1-0, and Pisa struggle to create chances—indicating a likely low scoreline. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in bonuses when you bet £10
Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:
- Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
- Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
- Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
- Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
- When it settles, unlock £40 in bonuses
New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10 at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x £10 Free Bets. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. Full T&Cs apply. 18+ GambleAware.org
Season Form & Standings
Roma are sixth and chasing a European place, with 17 wins from 31. Pisa have endured a torrid campaign, propping up the table with just 2 wins and 55 conceded.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 6 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 28 | +14 | 54 |
| Pisa | 20 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 18 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Donyell Malen (Roma): 7 goals, 46 shots (31.8% accuracy), averaging a shot every 19 minutes. Most likely to convert Roma’s dominance into goals.
- Matias Soule (Roma): 6 goals and 4 assists, leads the team with 35 key passes and 17 accurate crosses from set-plays. His vision and delivery are pivotal.
- Stefano Moreo (Pisa): 6 goals, 41 shots (32.3% accuracy), Pisa’s main threat but isolated in attack. If Pisa score, he’s the likeliest source.
- Mehdi Leris (Pisa): 3 assists, 21 key passes—a rare creative spark in a team that struggles to build chances.
Head-to-Head: Last Meeting
Roma and Pisa have only met once in recent seasons, with Roma edging a 1-0 win away in August.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 | Pisa 0-1 Roma | Serie A |
Conclusion: Will Roma’s Class Tell?
Given Roma’s superior chance creation, defensive record, and Pisa’s ongoing struggles at both ends, it’s difficult to see past a home win. The markets agree, with 1/3 @ Bet365 (75.0%) for Roma to win reflecting the gulf in quality. Donyell Malen anytime at 10/11 (52.4%) also stands out, given his attacking data and Pisa’s leaky defence. Will Roma’s dominance be as routine as the numbers suggest, or can Pisa defy the odds for a shock?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Read more:
- Latest football news
- Football betting tips
- Best betting sites
- Best free bet offers
- Football accumulator tips
