Following a tense first leg Roma and Bologna head into their UEFA Europa League clash at the Stadio Olimpico on 19 March with plenty at stake for both sides.
Roma are looking to assert home advantage, but recent head-to-heads and the underlying stats suggest this is far from a foregone conclusion—especially given Bologna’s attacking output and creative threat from deep. Kick-off is set for 20:00 local time, and fans can expect a tactical battle shaped by recent draws and slim margins.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Bologna’s high chance creation and Roma’s knack for sharing goals around, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in both teams finding the net given recent trends and attacking stats.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score – Yes | 20/21 @ Bet365 (51.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | We’re backing both teams to score as Roma and Bologna have each netted in their last three meetings. Bologna’s 209 shots and 17 goals in just 11 games, plus Roma’s broad scoring spread, point to attacking intent on both sides. Odds look fair given the recent H2H record. |
| Donyell Malen Anytime Goalscorer | 13/10 @ Bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Donyell Malen has featured in Roma’s attack and gets into good positions. With neither team relying on a single striker for all their goals, Malen’s movement could see him on the scoresheet at a reasonable price. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
The margins between these two sides has been razor thin all season, with Roma finishing just one point above their Serie A rivals in the Europa League group stage. Crucially, Roma finished in 8th position, assuring them of automatic qualification to the round of 16, while Bologna were just the wrong side of the line, finishing in 10th and needing to enter the playoff round.
They were drawn against Norwegian side, Brann, in the playoffs and produced two tight wins, both by a 1-0 scoreline to move into this round of 16 clash. The first leg of this tie finished 1-1, leaving things nicely in the balance heading into the second leg.
Potential Match-Winners
- Juan Miranda (Bologna): Among the league leaders for expected assists (3.03), Miranda is crucial for creating chances from left-back and often provides the spark in Bologna’s build-up play.
- Donyell Malen (Roma): Has been a frequent threat in advanced areas and is priced at 13/10 (43.5%) @ Bet365 to score anytime. His movement and finishing are key for Roma.
- Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma): A creative force in midfield, Pellegrini brings control and set-piece quality, with assists and shots from range.
- Lewis Ferguson (Bologna): A dynamic box-to-box midfielder, Ferguson has chipped in with goals and offers late runs into the penalty area.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six encounters between Roma and Bologna have produced three wins for Bologna, although they haven’t found victory in any of the last three meetings. Roma have just a single win in this period, with two of the matches ending in stalemates.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 | Bologna 1-1 Roma | UEFA Europa League |
| 23/08/25 | Roma 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| 12/01/25 | Bologna 2-2 Roma | Serie A |
| 10/11/24 | Roma 2-3 Bologna | Serie A |
| 22/04/24 | Roma 1-3 Bologna | Serie A |
| 17/12/23 | Bologna 2-0 Roma | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Roma’s home advantage and defensive solidity be enough to overcome Bologna’s high-intensity attack and creative full-backs? The match could hinge on who converts their chances better, given both sides’ tendency to share goals around. For punters, “Both Teams To Score” at 20/21 with Bet365 (51.2%) looks a sensible play given the recent H2H scoring trends and the attacking numbers on show.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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