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Squawka / News / Real Betis vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Real Betis vs Real Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Real Madrid travel to face Real Betis in a high-stakes La Liga showdown at the Estadio Benito Villamarín on Friday, 24 April (kick-off 20:00).

The visitors are in the thick of the title race, while Betis hope to tighten their grip on a European place. Madrid’s attacking power has overwhelmed most of their rivals this season, but Betis are no strangers to springing a surprise at home. With Kylian Mbappé and Vinicius Jr. in red-hot form, and Betis searching for a clinical edge, this fixture has all the ingredients for drama.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Real Madrid’s exceptional attacking stats and the hosts’ tendency to create (and miss) big chances, our top betting recommendations focus on an away win and goals. We’re particularly confident in Real Madrid to win at 5/6 @ Bet365 (54.5%) due to their superior shot accuracy, creativity, and head-to-head edge.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Real Madrid to Win5/6 @ Bet365
(54.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Madrid boast 67 goals (2.09 per game), the league’s best pass accuracy, and have won 9 of the last 20 head-to-heads. Mbappé has netted in three straight matches; Betis have a 38% win rate and struggle to convert big chances.
Over 2.5 Goals1/2 @ Bet365
(66.7%)
⭐⭐⭐Both teams average over 2.9 total goals per game. Madrid have produced 3+ goals in 20 of 32 matches; Betis create plenty of chances but are less clinical, often leading to open, end-to-end contests.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Real Madrid are second with 73 points from 32 games (72% win rate), while Betis sit fifth with 49 points. Madrid are near the top of the league in goals scored (67), assists (48), expected goals (58.9), and pass accuracy (89.7%). Betis have been competitive but inconsistent, with only 12 wins and a +8 goal difference.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Real Madrid23223456730+3773
Real Betis532121374840+849

Potential Match-Winners

  • Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): 24 goals, scored in each of his last 3, 49% shot accuracy, 244 touches in the opposition box. Madrid’s main man is thriving as a focal point and is also third for expected assists (4.81).
  • Vinicius Jr. (Real Madrid): 12 goals, 5 assists, 51% shot accuracy, 285 touches in the opposition area. His pace and movement are a constant threat, especially on transitions.
  • Pablo Fornals (Real Betis): 7 goals, 4 assists, 5.65 expected assists (leads Betis), 86.7% pass accuracy. Betis’s creative spark, especially in tight areas.
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez (Real Betis): 8 goals, 3 assists, 134 touches in the box. Not the most clinical, but Betis’s likeliest scoring outlet.

Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings

Real Madrid have won two of the last four against Betis, including a commanding 5-1 victory in January. The last couple of meetings have produced goals and this one should be no exception.


DateScoreCompetition
04/01/26Real Madrid 5-1 Real BetisPrimera División
01/03/25Real Betis 2-1 Real MadridPrimera División
01/09/24Real Madrid 2-0 Real BetisPrimera División
25/05/24Real Madrid 0-0 Real BetisPrimera División

Conclusion

Will Real Madrid’s clinical edge and creative firepower prove too much for Betis, or can the hosts’ structured approach and home support spring an upset? The numbers point to a Madrid win, and with 5/6 @ Bet365 (54.5%) on offer, there’s clear value in siding with the visitors to continue their title push.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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