RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund meet in a key clash near the top of the Bundesliga table. The game kicks off at 5:30pm (UK time) on Saturday 21st February at the Red Bull Arena.
Best bets & predictions
Based on season stats and recent trends, here are our top betting recommendations for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund. We’re particularly confident in the Over 3.5 Goals selection due to both teams’ attacking output and historical high-scoring encounters.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 Goals | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to both sides combining for 89 goals in 22 league games each (over four goals per match). RB Leipzig’s matches have seen the woodwork struck 15 times, suggesting even more attacking intent. Two of the last five H2Hs have finished with four or more goals. |
| Borussia Dortmund to Win | 21/10 @ Matchbook (32.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Dortmund have lost just one Bundesliga game this season and boast the best defensive record in the league (20 conceded, 11 clean sheets). While Leipzig have firepower, their defensive vulnerabilities make this price attractive for the visitors. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund odds
Season form & standings
2025-26 season to date. Dortmund have been the more consistent side, sitting second with just a single defeat, while Leipzig are fifth but with the league’s highest shot volume and a knack for creating big chances.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 20 | +27 | 51 |
| RB Leipzig | 5 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 40 |
Potential match-winners
- Julian Ryerson (Borussia Dortmund) – 11 assists this season, 32 key passes and 33 accurate crosses from corners make him a creative hub in open play and set pieces. He’s taken 46 corners, demonstrating set-piece responsibility.
- Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund) – Key forward threat, contributing to Dortmund’s 47 league goals, and clinical in finishing as evidenced by Dortmund’s overperformance vs xG.
- Romulo Cardoso (RB Leipzig) – Offers directness and movement, benefiting from Leipzig’s high chance creation (58 big chances, league-high shot tally).
Head-to-head
The last meeting was a draw, but RB Leipzig have dominated this fixture of late. They’ve won four of the past meetings and the past five at the Red Bull Arena.
Last six meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 | Borussia Dortmund 1-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 15/03/25 | RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 02/11/24 | Borussia Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 27/04/24 | RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 09/12/23 | Borussia Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 05/04/23 | RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia Dortmund | DFB-Pokal |
Final thoughts
Will Dortmund’s defensive solidity be enough to withstand Leipzig’s relentless shooting? Or will the hosts’ attacking volume finally tip the balance in their favour? This clash has all the ingredients for goals and drama, but with Dortmund’s form and defensive record, there’s value in the away win at 21/10 @ Matchbook (32.3%).
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
