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Squawka / News / PSG vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips & odds

PSG vs Bayern Munich: predictions, stats, tips & odds

When Paris Saint-Germain host Bayern Munich in a blockbuster Champions League clash on Tuesday evening. The game can be seen live at 8:00pm on TNT Sports 2 and below you can find our match preview and predictions that include an anytime goalscorer selection at 11/1.

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 10/11
(71.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐PSG are in top form in Europe. They swept aside Atalanta 4-0, edged Barcelona 2-1 away, and crushed Leverkusen 7-2 in a chaotic match. Bayern Munich, who have won 15 straight games and look unstoppable after big Champions League victories over Chelsea, Pafos and Club Brugge.With both sides full of attacking quality, goals are almost guaranteed. Over 3.5 goals looks a strong pick in Paris. 
Nuno Mendes to Score AnytimeBet365 6/4
(40.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Since the start of last season, PSG’s marauding left-back has a remarkable record of six goals in 19 matches. This season he is averaging 1.7 shots per game in Europe and at 11/1 he looks overpriced to get on the scoresheet here. 
 
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Odds correct at the time of writing.

How both teams go into PSG vs Bayern

PSG kept their momentum rolling with a last-gasp 1-0 win over Nice on Saturday, as Gonçalo Ramos struck deep into stoppage time after a dominant display. In Europe, they demolished Bayer Leverkusen 7-2 in a fiery encounter that featured two red cards and a missed penalty from Alejandro Grimaldo. That result leaves PSG top of their Champions League group with nine points, and they’ll look to strengthen that lead at the Parc des Princes, where they remain unbeaten this season.

Bayern Munich continue to set the standard under Vincent Kompany, winning every game in the 2025–26 season so far. Their front three of Michael Olise, Harry Kane and Luis Díaz have been unstoppable, firing in 54 goals already. In Europe, Bayern cruised past Club Brugge 4-0 before recording convincing domestic wins over Gladbach, Köln and Leverkusen. That run has them five points clear in the Bundesliga and level on nine points in their Champions League group, trailing PSG only on goal difference.

PSG team news

PSG will be without centre-back Ilya Zabarnyi on Tuesday after his red card against Leverkusen. Willian Pacho is expected to partner Marquinhos in defence. Up front, Desire Doue remains out with a thigh injury, while Bradley Barcola should join Ousmane Dembele and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia in attack.

Bayern Munich team news

Bayern could welcome back Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito next month as they recover from injuries. In the meantime, Tom Bischof and Konrad Laimer are likely at full-back, with Jonathan Tah and Dayot Upamecano in central defence. Josip Stanisic and Sacha Boey are also options.

Kompany rested Harry Kane, Luis Diaz, and Michael Olise at the weekend, yet Bayern still won without Jamal Musiala. On Tuesday, Kane, Diaz, and Olise should be ready to support loanee striker Nicolas Jackson and challenge PSG’s defence.

Season Form & Standings

2025/26 season to date: Both PSG and Bayern have started with 100% records in their Champions League group, each winning all three fixtures. PSG lead on goals scored, while both sides boast identical goal differences. Here’s how they stand:

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
PSG13300133+109
Bayern München23300122+109

Head-to-Head

No recent meeting between these teams has ended in a draw, with Bayern München holding the edge in wins and a habit of scoring away. Here’s how the last eight encounters unfolded:

Last 8 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
26/11/24Bayern München 1-0 PSGChampions League
08/03/23Bayern München 2-0 PSGChampions League
14/02/23PSG 0-1 Bayern MünchenChampions League
13/04/21PSG 0-1 Bayern MünchenChampions League
07/04/21Bayern München 2-3 PSGChampions League
23/08/20PSG 0-1 Bayern MünchenChampions League
05/12/17Bayern München 3-1 PSGChampions League
27/09/17PSG 3-0 Bayern MünchenChampions League

Conclusion

With both sides boasting 100% records and a history of high-intensity contests, the margins are razor-thin. PSG’s greater efficiency in front of goal could prove decisive, especially at home, but Bayern’s xG and creative numbers mean they are never out of the contest. Will PSG finally convert their group dominance into a statement win against their recent nemesis? Our top tip Over 3.5 goals at 10/11 Bet365 10/11 (52.4%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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