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Squawka / News / Parma vs Roma: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Parma vs Roma: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Roma travel to Parma aiming to keep their European push on track, while the hosts look to upset the odds and end a tough head-to-head run against their capital visitors.

Kick-off is set for 17:00 on Sunday at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, where Parma’s defensive resilience will be sternly tested by one of Serie A’s most efficient forward lines.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on current season form, Roma’s attacking superiority and head-to-head dominance stand out. Here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in Roma claiming all three points due to their substantial edge in goals scored and overall league position.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Roma to Win4/7 @ Bet365
(63.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Roma have won 7 of the last 9 meetings against Parma and are currently 5th with double the goals of their hosts. Parma have struggled for creativity (just 25 goals in 35 matches) which makes Roma strong favourites here.
Under 2.5 Goals8/11 @ Bet365
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐Parma’s matches average just 1.7 goals per game this season, and they’ve kept 12 clean sheets. Roma are compact at the back too (16 clean sheets, only 29 conceded). Four of the last six H2Hs have finished under this line.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Roma are pushing for a Champions League place with 20 wins from 35, while Parma are safely mid-table but lacking attacking thrust. Roma’s goal difference of +23 compared to Parma’s -17 captures the gulf in both offence and defence.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Roma535204115229+2364
Parma12351012132542-1742

Potential Match-Winners

  • Paulo Dybala (Roma): The Argentine forward remains Roma’s primary creative spark. Dybala ranks among the team’s top scorers and is central to their attacking play, often drifting into spaces Parma struggle to defend.
  • Artem Dovbyk (Roma): A physical presence up front, Dovbyk’s movement and hold-up play create space for others and he’s a constant target for crosses and through balls.
  • Daniel Mikołajewski (Parma): Emerging as a rare bright spot in Parma’s attack, his pressing and directness could trouble Roma if the home side transition quickly.
  • Parma Defence: The real collective match-winner is Parma’s back line, which has 12 clean sheets this campaign despite the team’s lowly position.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Roma have won five of the last six encounters between these sides, with Parma’s only recent success coming back in 2021. Goals have generally been at a premium, especially in matches played at the Tardini.

DateScoreCompetition
29/10/25Roma 2-1 ParmaSerie A
16/02/25Parma 0-1 RomaSerie A
22/12/24Roma 5-0 ParmaSerie A
14/03/21Parma 2-0 RomaSerie A
22/11/20Roma 3-0 ParmaSerie A
08/07/20Roma 2-1 ParmaSerie A

Final Thoughts

Roma arrive as deserved favourites, boasting twice as many goals and a far superior defensive record compared to Parma. The question for punters is whether Parma’s solid back line can keep this contest tight, or if Roma’s attacking class will shine through once again. Our strongest recommendation is Roma to win at 4/7 (63.6%) with Bet365. With both form and the head-to-head series firmly on their side, it’s hard to look past the visitors continuing their dominance in this fixture.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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