Parma welcome Fiorentina to the Stadio Ennio Tardini, with kick-off set for Saturday 27 December, at 11:30am. The game can be seen live on DAZN and below you can find our match preview and best bets.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on the defensive vulnerabilities of Fiorentina and Parma’s tendency to play out cagey draws, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in “Draw” as the value angle, given five stalemates in the last eight meetings and both teams’ struggles to convert dominance into wins.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Five draws in last eight H2Hs; neither side converting chances consistently. | Correct Score: 1-1 | 5/1 @ Bet365 (16.7%) | ⭐⭐ | Most common recent scoreline; fits both teams’ attacking and defensive numbers. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 16 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| Fiorentina | 20 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Both teams are struggling at the wrong end of the table, with Parma sitting 16th on 14 points (20% win rate) and Fiorentina rock bottom with only one win from 16 matches (6%). Parma have the tighter defence, but Fiorentina’s attack is more productive, with 17 goals for versus Parma’s 10.
Potential Match-Winners
- Moise Kean (Fiorentina): Highest xG in this match-up (6.79) but just 4 goals—suggests volume of chances but wasteful finishing. Averaging close to 1 big chance per game.
- Pontus Almqvist (Parma): Relies on efficiency—Parma’s more accurate shooters (33.96% shot accuracy) could make him a wild card if chances fall his way.
- Albert Guðmundsson (Fiorentina): Creative spark, part of a Fiorentina side producing 8 assists and 22 big chances—dangerous if given space.
Head-to-Head
Last 8 Meetings: Five draws, two Parma wins, one Fiorentina win. Recent clashes have been tight, low-scoring affairs with little to separate the sides.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 13/04/25 | Fiorentina 0-0 Parma | Serie A |
| 17/08/24 | Parma 1-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 07/03/21 | Fiorentina 3-3 Parma | Serie A |
| 07/11/20 | Parma 0-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 05/07/20 | Parma 1-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 03/11/19 | Fiorentina 1-1 Parma | Serie A |
| 19/05/19 | Parma 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 26/12/18 | Fiorentina 0-1 Parma | Serie A |
Conclusion
Will Fiorentina’s attacking volume finally pay off, or can Parma’s defensive discipline secure a vital result? With both sides making a habit of sharing the spoils, a draw looks the standout pick—especially at 2/1 (33.3%) with Bet365. This contest could hinge on which side corrects its flaws: Fiorentina’s defensive frailties or Parma’s lack of cutting edge.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
