Roma travel to Greece to face Panathinaikos in the Europa League on Thursday. The contest kicks off at 20:00 at the Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, and you can find our match preview and best bets below.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on a close analysis of season stats and recent trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Roma to win given their superior defensive record and ability to control possession, but there’s value in goals markets and a player angle too.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to Win | Bet365 8/11 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Roma have a 71% win rate in the league this season and have conceded just five goals in seven games, showing both attacking and defensive balance. Their ability to control possession (54.7% average) and convert big chances gives them a tangible edge over Panathinaikos, who sit much lower in the table and have struggled defensively at times. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | Bet365 20/21 (51.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Panathinaikos average over a goal per game and have a strong aerial threat, while Roma’s last three away matches have all seen both sides find the net. Both teams’ xG figures are nearly identical and attacking players are outperforming their expected tallies, suggesting there could be goals at both ends. |
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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date: Roma have been one of the division’s most consistent sides, sitting 6th with five wins from seven and a standout +7 goal difference. Panathinaikos, in contrast, have struggled for consistency, down in 19th but remain competitive thanks to solid home form and set-piece prowess.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 15 |
| Panathinaikos | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Karol Świderski (Panathinaikos): Leads the match with four goals in 704 minutes, including two headers. Impressive at converting limited opportunities (4 goals from 3.07 xG), and his aerial ability is a particular threat from set pieces.
- Anass Zaroury (Panathinaikos): Four goals from only 1.42 xG shows clinical finishing, and his creativity makes him a dual threat—look for him to be involved in any Panathinaikos breakthrough.
- Evan Ferguson (Roma): Two goals from 0.61 xG in limited minutes; he is Roma’s most efficient forward and could be more influential if given extended run.
- Artem Dovbyk (Roma): Regular starter and focal point for Roma’s attack, often involved in link-up play and dangerous inside the box.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
This will be the first competitive meeting between Panathinaikos and Roma, adding extra intrigue to the encounter as both sides look to make a statement in Europe.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| – | No previous meetings | – |
Will Roma’s control overcome Panathinaikos’ home edge?
Roma’s ability to dominate possession and convert their key chances stands out, but Panathinaikos’ set-piece strength and clinical finishers like Zaroury mean the Greeks cannot be underestimated, especially at home. Our preferred angle is Roma to win at Bet365 8/11 (57.9%), but the value in both teams scoring also appeals for those seeking a bigger price.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
