Leaders Real Madrid travel to Osasuna for a high-stakes La Liga clash that pits the division’s most ruthless attack against a side looking to upset history. Kick-off is set for 17:30 on Saturday at El Sadar, with the visitors aiming to extend their dominant head-to-head streak and maintain their title charge.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Real Madrid’s overwhelming attacking stats and their historic dominance in this fixture, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re especially confident in a Real Madrid win given their superior season form and Osasuna’s struggles against elite opposition.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé Anytime Goalscorer | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value here due to Mbappé’s remarkable form: 23 goals in 24 league games, a shot accuracy of 45.8%, and a record of scoring in big fixtures. Osasuna’s defence has kept just eight clean sheets in 24 games, making Mbappé an obvious threat to score again. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/6 @ Bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | We’re tipping over 2.5 goals as Real Madrid average 2.2 goals per match, while Osasuna’s home games have seen goals at both ends. Four of the last six meetings have produced three or more goals. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Osasuna vs Real Madrid odds
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 1 | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 60 |
| Osasuna | 10 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 30 |
Real Madrid’s 79% win rate and +34 goal difference highlight their dominance, while Osasuna sit mid-table with a balanced goal record and 33% win rate.
Potential Match-Winners
- Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid): 23 goals, 4 assists, 45.8% shot accuracy, 54.6% successful take-ons. The most decisive player in the league, Mbappé averages nearly a goal per game and is involved in almost every major attacking move for Madrid.
- Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid): 8 goals and 5 assists, 47.5% shot accuracy, 82.7% pass accuracy. A secondary threat with dynamic dribbling and chance creation.
- Ante Budimir (Osasuna): 11 goals, but with just 28.6% shot accuracy and no assists. Osasuna’s main goal threat, but less efficient than Madrid’s forwards.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Real Madrid have nine wins and four draws from the last thirteen meetings, with Osasuna yet to claim a victory. The last six games have seen Madrid assert their superiority, including two 4-0 wins in the last three.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 19/08/25 | Real Madrid 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 15/02/25 | Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 09/11/24 | Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 16/03/24 | Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| 07/10/23 | Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 18/02/23 | Osasuna 0-2 Real Madrid | La Liga |
Conclusion
Given Real Madrid’s blistering form, attacking firepower, and historic control of this fixture, it’s tough to see Osasuna pulling off an upset. With Mbappé in top gear and Madrid’s defence conceding less than a goal per game, the value is firmly on the away win at 4/6 with Matchbook (60.0% implied probability). Can Osasuna stop the juggernaut, or will Madrid’s title march continue?
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.