
Osasuna host Levante at El Sadar in a clash that already feels pivotal near the foot of the table.
Both sides are in urgent need of points: Osasuna sit 17th, just outside the drop zone, while Levante are two places below after a bruising run. With their recent head-to-head history leaning Osasuna’s way and defensive issues plaguing both teams, Monday night’s match (kick-off 8:00 PM) promises tension and, potentially, goals. Can Osasuna’s higher expected goals finally translate into points, or will Levante’s more efficient attack swing the balance?
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent head-to-heads and this season’s underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for Osasuna vs Levante. We’re especially confident in the home side’s chances, given their edge in xG and a strong record in this fixture.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | 4/5 @ Betfair (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Hit in 4 of last 6 H2Hs; both keepers face high shot volumes. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 11/10 @ Paddy Power (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average 2.0+ goals conceded per game; defences leaky. |
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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Season Form & Standings
Both teams have found this campaign tough going, with Osasuna just above the relegation zone and Levante struggling defensively. Osasuna’s 12 points from 14 games puts them 17th, while Levante’s 16 goals have only yielded 9 points and a spot in 19th. Both sides have negative goal differences, reflecting leaky backlines and missed chances.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 17 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| Levante | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 9 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Sergio Herrera (Osasuna): Averaging 3.6 saves per match. If Levante threaten, he’s key to keeping Osasuna in the game.
- Goduine Koyalipou (Levante): One of Levante’s more efficient finishers, capitalising on limited service (Levante’s 16 goals from 144 shots).
- Ante Budimir (Osasuna): Looks to improve Osasuna’s conversion rate, with the team generating 145 shots but only 12 goals so far.
- Oriel Rey (Levante): Brings experience to midfield, vital for Levante’s ball retention (pass accuracy 77.4%).
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna have had the better of this fixture in recent years, winning three of the last six meetings and losing just once.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 19/03/22 | Osasuna 3-1 Levante | Primera División |
| 05/12/21 | Levante 0-0 Osasuna | Primera División |
| 14/02/21 | Levante 0-1 Osasuna | Primera División |
| 27/09/20 | Osasuna 1-3 Levante | Primera División |
| 24/01/20 | Osasuna 2-0 Levante | Primera División |
| 29/09/19 | Levante 1-1 Osasuna | Primera División |
Conclusion
Will Osasuna’s higher xG and recent head-to-head edge prove decisive against a Levante side who convert their chances more efficiently but leak goals? Expect a tense contest, with Osasuna’s home record and Levante’s defensive frailties setting the stage for a result that could shape the relegation battle. Our top pick: Osasuna to win at 7/5 with Bet365 (41.7%) offers solid value if the hosts can finally take their chances.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
