Osasuna host Deportivo Alavés at Estadio El Sadar on Saturday, 20 December, in a clash where history and current form point in different directions.
The home side have enjoyed remarkable dominance in this fixture, unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Alavés. Yet, both teams have struggled for goals this season and sit just a few places apart in La Liga, raising the stakes for this encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Osasuna’s head-to-head supremacy and both teams’ tendency for low-scoring matches, here are our top betting recommendations. We’re particularly confident in the Under 2.5 Goals selection, given each side’s modest attacking output and recent trends.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1/2 @ Bet365 (66.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams average less than a goal per game; 17 goals conceded by Alavés in 16, 20 by Osasuna in 16. |
| Draw | 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of the last 11 meetings ended level; both teams have drawn 3 in 16 this season. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Both sides have identical goal records (14 scored), but Alavés are slightly better off defensively and in the table. Osasuna have suffered more defeats and hold a lower win rate, while Alavés’ steadier passing and possession numbers have edged them ahead by three points.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 18 |
| Osasuna | 16 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Ante Budimir (Osasuna): 4 goals this season, leads all key scorers with 40.7% shot accuracy and 5.88 xG, showing he gets into dangerous positions.
- Carlos Vicente (Alavés): Joint top scorer (4) from midfield, 79.7% pass accuracy – key link between midfield and attack.
- Lucas Boyé (Alavés): 3 goals, combines 74.6% pass accuracy with strong movement, making him a threat both finishing and creating.
All three are vital to their teams’ attacking output, but with neither side prolific, a single moment of quality from these names could settle a tight contest.
Head-to-Head: Last 11 Meetings
Osasuna have dominated this fixture, unbeaten in the last 11 meetings against Alavés, winning 8 and drawing 3. Alavés have not recorded a win against Osasuna in recent history, and have struggled both home and away in this matchup.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/05/25 | Alavés 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 08/12/24 | Osasuna 2-2 Alavés | La Liga |
| 04/03/24 | Osasuna 1-0 Alavés | La Liga |
| 01/10/23 | Alavés 0-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 10/04/22 | Osasuna 1-0 Alavés | La Liga |
| 18/09/21 | Alavés 0-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 27/02/21 | Alavés 0-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 31/12/20 | Osasuna 1-1 Alavés | La Liga |
| 24/06/20 | Alavés 0-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 03/11/19 | Osasuna 4-2 Alavés | La Liga |
| 05/04/17 | Alavés 0-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Conclusion
Osasuna may have the psychological edge after dominating this fixture for years, but both sides are evenly matched this season and neither attack looks likely to run riot. Will the home side extend their unbeaten run against Alavés, or can the visitors finally break the trend? Our top pick is Under 2.5 Goals at 1/2 with Bet365 (66.7%) – everything points to a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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