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Squawka / News / Newcastle vs Bournemouth: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Newcastle vs Bournemouth: predictions, stats, tips & odds

St James’ Park plays host as Newcastle United welcome Bournemouth in the FA Cup third round on Saturday afternoon. Both teams arrive here after securing late wins in the Premier League on Wednesday evening, and below you can find our match preview and best bets. 


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Best Bets & Predictions

Given the razor-thin margins in previous meetings and the odds currently on offer, our top betting recommendations focus on markets where recent trends and value align. We’re particularly confident in Newcastle United to secure the win at home, but the draw and goals-based markets offer intriguing alternatives for accumulators and singles alike.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Newcastle United to Win8/11 @ Betfair
(57.9%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backing because Newcastle are unbeaten in the last three at home vs Bournemouth.
Both Teams To Score – Yes8/13 @ bet365
(61.9%)
⭐⭐⭐Value here due to both teams scoring in 4 of last 5 H2Hs.
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Odds correct at the time of writing.

Potential Match-Winners

Without current season stats, we look to the attacking players who could make a difference based on their profiles and roles:

  • Anthony Gordon (Newcastle): Brings pace and directness, often a threat in transition and capable of unlocking defences.
  • Yoane Wissa (Newcastle): A lively forward, known for sharp movement and ability to find space in the box.
  • Enes Ünal (Bournemouth): Turkish striker, strong in the air and a target for set pieces; often Bournemouth’s focal point.
  • Amine Adli (Bournemouth): Creative influence with dribbling ability, capable of moments of individual brilliance.

Head-to-Head

Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth have proven inseparable over the years, with both sides scoring 19 goals each and seven of their last fourteen meetings ending in draws. Recent encounters have been especially close, with the last five contests featuring three draws and just one win apiece for each side.

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
21/09/25AFC Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle UnitedPremier League
18/01/25Newcastle United 1-4 AFC BournemouthPremier League
25/08/24AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle UnitedPremier League
17/02/24Newcastle United 2-2 AFC BournemouthPremier League
11/11/23AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Newcastle UnitedPremier League

Conclusion

With both teams locked together in their head-to-head record and neither able to claim clear dominance, this clash at St James’ Park has all the ingredients to be another closely fought contest. Will Newcastle finally tip the scales on home soil, or can Bournemouth frustrate them again? Our top tip is Newcastle United to win at 8/11 with Betfair (57.9%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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