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Squawka / News / Netherlands vs Finland: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Netherlands vs Finland: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Netherlands welcome Finland to Johan Cruijff Arena on Sunday afternoon for a key Group G World Cup qualifier.

The match, scheduled for a 17:00 kick off, will be the 13th meeting between the two nations, with Ronald Koeman hoping to build a six point lead at the top of the group.

Best bets and predictions

Netherlands have an overwhelming amount of talent available to them and this should be an encounter they pick up all three points from. We’re confident that Netherlands should win this clash comfortably and we’re backing them on the handicap market.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Netherlands -37/5 @ BetMGM
(41.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Netherlands come into this match as overwhelming favourites and we’re confident they will come out on top, comfortably beating the handicap. They’ve scored 18 goals in their last five matches and conceded only four times, scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game. Finland have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game but failed to find the net against Netherlands in the return leg of this contest.
1st Half: Netherlands and 2nd Half: Netherlands and Over 3 Goals for Netherlands and Tijjani Reijnders to Score5/1 @ Bet365
(16.7%)
⭐⭐Netherlands should be taking control of this one from the off and we can see them winning both halves of the game as they put Finland to the sword. As seen above, we also think Netherlands will score plenty of goals, beating the goal line of three. Tijjani Reijnders has been in really good form for Man City, scoring once along the way whilst he also scored against Malta in midweek as Netherlands romped home 4-0, taking his tally to five goals in 26 appearances for his nation.
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How both teams head into Netherlands vs Finland

Netherlands enter this match unbeaten in five matches, having won four of those contests. They currently top Group G, winning 13 points from a possible 13 and scoring 18 goals. Those victories have come against Finland, Malta (twice) and Lithuania and, when adding their draw with Poland, have put them on the edge of qualification for next summer’s World Cup.

Finland have performed well in their campaign, currently sitting in third position, level on points with Poland but behind on goal difference. Losses against Poland and Netherlands have left them battling it out for a playoff place but, having played a game more than Poland, will need results to go in their favour. A win against Lithuania in their last outing gave them a boost but they really need a result here to keep in touch with the two teams at the top.

World Cup qualifying standings

Team (Group G)PosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Netherlands15410183+1513
Team (Group G)PosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Finland3631289-110

Netherlands team news

Memphis Depay will be hoping to increase his tally for his country, having become Netherlands record goalscorer recently scoring 52 goals in 104 appearances. There could be a first cap for Robin Roefs, with the Sunderland goalkeeper receiving his first call up, whilst there is plenty of other Premier League interest elsewhere including Virgil van Dijk, Jurrien Timber, Xavi Simons and Cody Gakpo.

Finland team news

Teemu Pukki should take one step closer to becoming the record appearance holder for Finland, winning his 132nd cap and gaining ground on Jari Litmanen, who has 137 caps. There are no players from the Premier League within the Finland squad but Viljami Sinisalo, Oliver Antman and Topi Keskinen all ply their trade in the Scottish Premiership.

Head to head: Last 5 meetings

Netherlands have won the previous five meetings between the two nations, scoring 13 goals along the way. Finland have never won a competitive fixture against Netherlands and have scored just twice in the last five meetings.

DateScoreCompetition
07/06/25Finland 0-2 NetherlandsWorld Cup qualifying
06/09/11Finland 0-2 NetherlandsEuropean Championships qualifying
07/09/10Netherlands 2-1 FinlandEuropean Championships qualifying
08/06/05Finland 0-4 NetherlandsWorld Cup qualifying
13/10/04Netherlands 3-1 FinlandWorld Cup qualifying

Conclusion

Netherlands come into this match as strong favourites and they have plenty of talent all over the pitch, more than enough to take all three points from the clash. For those looking for a tip for this match, should pay attention to the handicap market. We’re backing Netherlands to win the match with a -3 handicap at 7/5 with BetMGM.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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