Borussia M’gladbach host RB Leipzig at Borussia-Park on Friday, with kick-off at 19:30.
The clash is set against the backdrop of Leipzig’s consistent superiority in this fixture, having won nine of the last sixteen meetings. While M’gladbach look to capitalise on home advantage and the form of sharpshooter Haris Tabakovic, they face a Leipzig side boasting more attacking firepower and a higher league standing. All eyes are on whether the hosts can upset the odds in a match that looks likely to deliver goals and drama.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Leipzig’s attacking numbers, their strong head-to-head dominance, and Tabakovic’s overperformance in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing RB Leipzig to win, given their superior form, firepower, and historical edge.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig to Win | 11/10 @ Bet365 (47.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Leipzig have won 9 of last 16 vs M’gladbach; stronger in attack and league position. |
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | 2/5 @ Bet365 (71.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | M’gladbach average 1.45 goals per game; Leipzig 2.0. Both sides’ attack outpaces defences. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Leipzig have a 73% win rate and a +9 goal difference, while M’gladbach find themselves in the bottom half, averaging just over one point per game.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 25 |
| Borussia M’gladbach | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Haris Tabakovic (Borussia M’gladbach): 7 goals in 11 matches, outperforming his xG by more than double. Key focal point, converting 33% of his shots.
- Christoph Baumgartner (RB Leipzig): 5 goals and 3 assists from midfield, with a 75% pass accuracy. Involved in 8 goals already.
- Romulo (RB Leipzig): 4 goals, 3 assists, and a 35% shot accuracy. Offers a dual threat as scorer and provider.
Each of these players is central to their team’s attacking output, with Tabakovic in particularly clinical form, while Leipzig boast two highly productive goal contributors.
Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings
RB Leipzig have dominated the fixture, winning nine of the last sixteen. M’gladbach, however, did take the honours in the most recent home clash.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 29/03/25 | Borussia M’gladbach 1-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 09/11/24 | RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia M’gladbach | Bundesliga |
| 17/02/24 | RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia M’gladbach | Bundesliga |
| 23/09/23 | Borussia M’gladbach 0-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 11/03/23 | RB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia M’gladbach | Bundesliga |
| 17/09/22 | Borussia M’gladbach 3-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 02/05/22 | Borussia M’gladbach 3-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 11/12/21 | RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia M’gladbach | Bundesliga |
Conclusion
Will Borussia M’gladbach be able to halt Leipzig’s charge and pull off a home upset, or will Leipzig’s attacking depth prove decisive again? With the away side’s superior form and head-to-head record, the value leans towards RB Leipzig to win at 11/10 (47.6%) @ Bet365 – but expect both sides to play their part in an entertaining contest.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.