Monaco welcome Manchester City to Stade Louis II in a high-stakes UEFA Champions League clash, kicking off this week.
The visitors arrive buoyed by blistering early-season form, while Monaco look to bounce back from a sobering opening defeat. With only one previous meeting on record — a famous 3-1 Monaco win back in 2017 — City will be out for continental revenge, while Monaco hope home comfort can inspire another upset.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on Manchester City’s relentless attacking stats and Monaco’s defensive struggles, these are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in a Manchester City win, given their control on the ball and depth in attack.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City to Win | 4/9 @ Bet365 (69.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | City dominate possession (74%) and shots (23/game); Monaco lost 4-1 in their opener. Pep Guardiola’s side have won three of their opening six Premier league games, scoring 14 goals with Erling Haaland in red hot form and they opened their Champions League account with an impressive 2-0 win over Napoli. Monaco haven’t enjoyed as much success in the Champions League to this point, losing 4-1 to Club Brugge in their opening game. They’ve had more good times in Ligue 1, though, winning four of their opening six games. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 8/15 @ Bet365 (65.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | City average 3 goals; Monaco’s attack posts 1.91 xG. Both teams create chances and this should be another attacking game between two sides that boast plenty of offensive talent. Man City have scored 18 goals in eight games in all competitions this season whilst Monaco have found the net 15 times in six games. |
- Bet £10 get £30
- Excellent Football Betting Options
- Extensive Bet-Builder
- Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker
New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.
Our approach: Start with Manchester City to win, and combine Over 2.5 Goals for accumulator potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Monaco vs Man City match odds
How both teams go into Monaco vs Man City
Monaco have started their Ligue 1 campaign well, winning four of their opening six games although losses to Lorient and Lille have set them back and left them three points behind leaders, PSG. They haven’t fared well in the Champions League, losing their opening game 4-1 to Club Brugge and things don’t get any easier this week, with a tough visit from Man City to contend with.
Man City have performed well in the Premier League but losses to Tottenham and Brighton have left them five points off the top of the league with plenty of ground to make up. A win in the League Cup has given the side a lift and they opened their Champions League account with a victory. The form of Erling Haaland will be a big plus for them, with the Norwegian scoring nine goals in seven appearances in all competitions.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date: Both sides have played once in the group stage, with Manchester City notching a confident win and Monaco suffering a heavy defeat. Early signs suggest City are picking up where they left off, while Monaco need an immediate response.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| Monaco | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Monaco team news
Monaco remain without first choice goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky but they should be able to welcome back Maghnes Akliouche who missed the game at the weekend through illness.
Man City team news
Rayan Cherki, Omar Marmoush, Rayan Ait-Nouri and Abdukodir Khusanov will all miss out through injury whilst there are major concerns over Rodri who is dealing with a knee problem.
Head-to-Head: Last Meeting
These sides have met just once in recent Champions League history, with Monaco winning a 3-1 thriller in 2017. That match still stands as a famous upset, and City will be determined to avoid a repeat.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 15/03/17 | Monaco 3-1 Manchester City | UEFA Champions League |
Conclusion
Will Manchester City’s attacking depth and possession dominance finally break their Monaco hoodoo? On current evidence, City look a class above — but Monaco showed flashes of threat, and their home crowd will demand a response. Our top pick remains a Manchester City win at 4/9 (69.2%) with Bet365, with Erling Haaland a strong shout to find the net again.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.