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Squawka / News / Manchester United vs Chelsea: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Manchester United vs Chelsea: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Manchester United welcome Chelsea to Old Trafford on Saturday for a 5:30pm kick-off, with both sides seeking to assert themselves early in the Premier League campaign. Chelsea were beaten 3-1 by Bayern Munich on Wednesday evening, while United have had considerably more time to prepare for this clash, having last been in action against Manchester City last weekend. Find our best bets and match preview below. 

Our Predictions for Manchester United vs Chelsea

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Man Utd to Win9/5 @ Bet365
(35.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Chelsea had to travel to Germany on Wednesday and have had less time to prepare. Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League home games against Chelsea (W5 D7) since a 0-1 defeat in May 2013. Indeed, Chelsea’s win rate of 18% at Old Trafford in the Premier League (6/33) is their lowest away to any side they have visited 10+ times in the competition.
Bruno Fernandes Anytime Assist9/2 @ BOYLE Sports
(18.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Despite scoring only five times, Manchester United have had 94 shots in their last four home Premier League games, attempting at least 20 in every game. They last had 20+ shots in more consecutive league games at Old Trafford between March and September 2012 under Sir Alex Ferguson (8 in a row). Bruno Fernandes has created the most chances both overall (14) and from open play (10) in the Premier League this season, but has yet to provide an assist.     

Our approach: Start with Chelsea Double Chance, add BTTS for accumulator potential and consider a small stake on the 1-1 correct score.

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Manchester United vs Chelsea Odds

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Manchester United vs Chelsea

Manchester United have only taken four points from their first four matches of the Premier League campaign. The Red Devils were easily beaten in the Manchester derby last weekend as City managed a 3-0 victory in a game that could have seen Pep Guardiola’s side score six or seven. United have also been dumped out of the League Cup by Grimsby this season and a much improved showing is expected against Chelsea. If they fail to secure anything on Saturday, the pressure will mount on Ruben Amorim.

Chelsea had a much shorter pre-season than most other Premier League teams, due to their participation in the Club World Cup, which they went on to win. The Blues are unbeaten in their first four league matches of 2025-26, with wins against West Ham and Fulham, along with draws against Crystal Palace and Brentford. Enzo Maresca’s men were beaten 3-1 by Bayern Munich on Wednesday and will be looking to bounce back with a win at Old Trafford.

Manchester United team news

Lisandro Martinez remains on the treatment table and is expected back at the end of October. Matheus Cunha, Diogo Dalot and Mason Mount are all a doubt.

Chelsea team news

Benoit Badiashile, Levi Colwill, Romeo Lavia and Liam Delap are all confirmed absentees for the trip to Old Trafford.

Season Form & Standings

A quick look at the 2025/26 season so far shows Chelsea in the ascendancy, while United face early questions under the pressure of inconsistent results. Four games in, the Blues boast a +6 goal difference and remain unbeaten, whereas United languish near the bottom half.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chelsea5422093+68
Manchester United14411247-34

Potential Match-Winners

For Chelsea, both Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez have hit the ground running from midfield. Caicedo boasts a 92.7% pass accuracy and 2 goals in 4 appearances, underlining his reliability in possession and surprising goal threat. Fernandez matches that tally, adding a goal every other game and a strong creative spark, with 6 big chance assists and 84.5% pass accuracy. For United, attackers like Bryan Mbeumo need to deliver—so far, no United player features among the top scorers, highlighting where improvement is most needed.

Head-to-Head

Recent meetings have been fiercely competitive, with draws and narrow wins common. Across the last 22 clashes, United edge Chelsea 8 wins to 6, with 8 draws—evidence that neither side has dominated this fixture.

Last 5 Meetings

DateScoreCompetition
16/05/25Chelsea 1-0 Manchester UnitedPremier League
03/11/24Manchester United 1-1 ChelseaPremier League
04/04/24Chelsea 4-3 Manchester UnitedPremier League
06/12/23Manchester United 2-1 ChelseaPremier League
25/05/23Manchester United 4-1 ChelseaPremier League

Conclusion

It’s challenging to get behind Manchester United under Ruben Amorim, but with Chelsea having significantly less preparation time for this clash, United could have the edge here. Goals are expected with seven of the last eight featuring BTTS, and backing Fernandes to provide an assist at 9/2 looks a solid wager.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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