Manchester City welcome Liverpool to the Etihad Stadium in what promises to be a blockbuster Premier League clash.
With both sides sitting near the top of the table and separated by just a single point, this Sunday afternoon showdown could have early season title implications. Recent meetings between these English heavyweights have been tightly contested, and with Erling Haaland in prolific form and Liverpool’s attack firing plenty of shots, expect a high-octane encounter.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form and season statistics, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in backing Manchester City to win due to their superior attacking efficiency and defensive record at home.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City to Win | 10/11 @ Bet365 (52.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Manchester City enter Sunday’s clash with momentum firmly in their corner. They boast a striking home record against Liverpool — remaining unbeaten in seven Premier League games at the Etihad with four wins and three draws. City’s attack is also firing, averaging 2 goals per game this season, while Liverpool’s defence has caved to 3+ xG in recent direct encounters. Manchester City look well positioned to overcome Liverpool on Sunday. At home, City are unbeaten in 26 Premier League fixtures, winning 23 of them. Liverpool, meanwhile, have conceded in seven of their last nine away games and allowed 3.1 xG in last season’s Etihad meeting — evidence that City’s attacking dominance could again prove decisive. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/9 @ Bet365 (69.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have been relentless in attack this season — Manchester City average 2 goals per game and Liverpool 1.8, while each rank top three in xG and shots on target per 90. Four of the last six matches between the two have ended with both teams scoring, while 40% of Man City games have seen both teams score. The same can be said of 70% of Liverpool league games this season. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
- Fantastic Promotions
- Fun Social Media Content
- New Bookmaker
#AD 18+ New customers only. Bet £10+ in a single real-money bet within 7 days of registration to receive £10 in Free Bets credited within 24 hours of qualifying bet settlement. Free Bets Boosts expire 7 days after credit. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. Gambleaware.org
- Bet £10 get £30
- Excellent Football Betting Options
- Extensive Bet-Builder
- Multi-Award Winning Bookmaker
New customers can sign up using bonus code SQUAWKA365, bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. This code is for marketing and tracking purposes only. #Ad.
- Enhanced Offers
- Request A Bet Feature
- Vast selection of sports markets
#AD 18+ New customers only. £5 minimum deposit. Place a £10 qualifying bet on any market. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 1 x £5 bet token. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets are non-withdrawable. 30 day free bet expiry. Eligibility restrictions. Further T&Cs apply.
Man City vs Liverpool match odds
How both teams head into Man City vs Liverpool
Man City come into this game off the back of consecutive wins over Bournemouth and Borussia Dortmund, meaning they’ve won five of their last six games in all competitions. A loss to Aston Villa is the only blemish on their recent record, leaving them in second place in the Premier League, six points behind Arsenal. City have averaged two goals a game in the league this season, with Erling Haaland being in imperious form, scoring 13 goals in 10 games and he’ll be looking to add to that tally this weekend.
Liverpool seem to have put their poor run of form behind them, securing wins over Aston Villa and Real Madrid in the past week. Those victories put a stop to five losses in their previous six games and lifted them back up to third place in the Premier League, just one point behind their opponents this weekend. Goals haven’t been a problem for the Reds, with 18 goals in 10 games but they’ve conceded 14 times, the same number as 15th placed Fulham.
Man City team news
Mateo Kovacic is the only absentee for Man City and isn’t due to return until well into 2026. That leaves Pep Guardiola will almost a full squad to pick from and this match could see the return of Rodri.
Liverpool team news
Giovanni Leoni will miss the entirety of the season with an ACL injury, while Alisson and Jeremie Frimpong will find this game a couple of weeks too early for their returns. Alexander Isak could make his comeback from injury but he’s more likely to start the game on the bench.
Season Form & Standings
Both clubs have started strongly, with City second and Liverpool third after 10 matches each. City boast the best defensive record among the two, while Liverpool’s attack fires more shots but with less accuracy.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 19 |
| Liverpool | 3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent meetings have been evenly split, with Liverpool edging it 9 wins to City’s 6 and seven draws in the last 22. Last season saw Liverpool win both fixtures but draws are never far away in this rivalry.
Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 23/02/25 | Manchester City 0-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 01/12/24 | Liverpool 2-0 Manchester City | Premier League |
| 10/03/24 | Liverpool 1-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
| 25/11/23 | Manchester City 1-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 01/04/23 | Manchester City 4-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
Conclusion: Will City’s Efficiency Outgun Liverpools Volume?
Manchester City’s mix of attacking efficiency and defensive reliability at home makes them a compelling pick against a Liverpool side that creates plenty but is less clinical in front of goal. With Erling Haaland in electric form and City’s superior shot accuracy and clean sheets, the hosts are justified favourites. Still, Liverpool’s ability to dominate possession and create chances means they should not be underestimated, and goals at both ends look likely. For those seeking value, Manchester City at 10/11 (52.4%) with Bet365 is our standout selection.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.