Real Sociedad travel to the Iberostar Estadi on Saturday to take on a Mallorca side fighting for survival, in what’s become a crucial contest at both ends of the La Liga table.
With the visitors holding a dominant record in this fixture and Mallorca heavily reliant on the red-hot Vedat Muriqi, all eyes will be on whether individual brilliance or collective strength proves decisive. Kick-off is at 17:30 on 28 February.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on a combination of season-long trends and recent head-to-head results, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Real Sociedad’s chances, given their superior technical stats and historic record in this fixture.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to Win | 6/4 @ Betfair (40.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Sociedad have won 8 of the last 11 H2Hs and outclass Mallorca in passing, xG and shot accuracy. Mallorca average just 1.16 goals per game, while Sociedad have more attacking contributors. Odds imply a 40% win chance, but their H2H dominance and technical edge make this strong value. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | 20/21 @ Bet365 (51.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Five of the last six H2Hs saw at least one side fail to score. Mallorca rely almost entirely on Muriqi, while Sociedad have allowed less than 1.6 goals per game. The price (51.2%) is fair for a low-scoring, tight contest. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Mallorca find themselves in a relegation scrap, sitting 18th after 25 matches, while Real Sociedad are mid-table in 10th. Mallorca’s main issue is a -12 goal difference and just six wins all season. Sociedad have been inconsistent but have a far better attacking output and a slight negative goal difference.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 18 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 24 |
| Real Sociedad | 10 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 32 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca): Has scored 16 of Mallorca’s 29 goals (55%). Overshoots his xG (16 from 8.58) but also missed 12 big chances. If Mallorca score, it’s likely him – averages close to a goal every 140 minutes.
- Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad): 10 goals and 3 assists, outperforming his xG. Involved in build-up (77% pass accuracy) and wins duels in the final third.
- Goncalo Guedes (Real Sociedad): 6 goals from just 1.89 xG and a remarkable 61.5% shot accuracy. Offers threat from wide and is clinical when chances fall his way.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
Real Sociedad have dominated this fixture, winning three of the last six. Mallorca have managed two wins, and both sides have managed the same amount of goals over the last six fixtures.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 24/09/25 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 12/04/25 | Real Sociedad 0-2 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 17/09/24 | Mallorca 1-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| 18/02/24 | Mallorca 1-2 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| 21/10/23 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 12/03/23 | Mallorca 1-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Final Thoughts
Can Mallorca overcome their attacking limitations and Sociedad’s historic dominance to claim vital points at home, or will the visitors’ technical superiority and spread of match-winners prove decisive? On balance, we’re backing Real Sociedad at 6/4 with Betfair (40.0%) as the value pick – their consistency in this fixture and greater attacking variety could be the difference.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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