Mallorca return to Son Moix desperate for their first win of the La Liga campaign, hosting a Deportivo Alavés side enjoying life in mid-table.
Saturday’s fixture (27 September, 5:30 PM) brings together two clubs with a history of tight encounters, but with Mallorca languishing near the bottom and Alavés looking solid defensively, all eyes are on whether the hosts can finally turn their fortunes around.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on current form and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re particularly confident in the low goal count due to both teams’ recent attacking output and defensive profiles.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2/5 @ Bet365 (71.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average under a goal per match; 5/8 last H2Hs went under. |
| Draw | 2/1 @ Bet365 (33.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of the last five meetings ended level; Mallorca struggle to win. |
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Our approach: Start with Under 2.5 Goals, add Draw for accumulator potential.
Season Form & Standings
2025/26 season to date
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Mallorca | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
Mallorca’s struggles are clear: zero wins from six, the second-leakiest defence in the division (11 conceded), and a blunt attack. Alavés sit solidly mid-table, conceding at a rate of one per game and showing better balance.
Potential Match-Winners
Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca)
Mallorca’s main attacking outlet, Muriqi has scored four of their five league goals so far, with a remarkable 70% shot accuracy and three headed goals. His aerial threat is a constant danger, especially from set-pieces—Mallorca have 98 touches inside the opposition box, among the league’s best for a struggling team.
Lucas Boyé (Alavés)
While Alavés have shared goals around, Boyé’s physical style fits the team’s dominance in aerial duels (129 successful headers, best in this fixture). If Alavés threaten, expect him to be involved, especially late on.
Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings
This fixture has been notoriously tight in recent years; the last eight meetings have produced just 12 goals and three draws. Neither side has scored more than twice in a single game during this run.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 02/03/25 | Mallorca 1-1 Deportivo Alavés | La Liga |
| 01/11/24 | Deportivo Alavés 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 24/02/24 | Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 03/12/23 | Mallorca 0-0 Deportivo Alavés | La Liga |
| 19/04/22 | Mallorca 2-1 Deportivo Alavés | La Liga |
| 21/08/21 | Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 15/02/20 | Mallorca 1-0 Deportivo Alavés | La Liga |
| 29/09/19 | Deportivo Alavés 2-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
Conclusion
With Mallorca struggling to keep the back door shut and Alavés boasting defensive stability, the question is whether the home side can finally break their winless duck—or if another low-scoring stalemate is on the cards. For punters, the clearest value lies with Under 2.5 Goals at 2/5 (71.4%), given both teams’ scoring records and recent head-to-heads.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.