Levante welcome Elche to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on Friday, 23 January, for a clash that pits a side struggling near the foot of the table against a more cohesive, possession-based Elche unit aiming to push up the La Liga standings.
With both teams averaging over a goal per game and their last five head-to-heads split evenly, the match promises intrigue for fans and bettors alike.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent form, attacking metrics, and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Elche’s attacking output and a goals-focused market, given both sides’ defensive numbers and the statistical edge Elche hold in shot accuracy and creation.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche to Win | 11/8 @ Bet365 (42.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Elche have scored more, conceded fewer, and boast higher accuracy (47.8% shots on target) than Levante. Their ball retention (59% avg possession) and passing (86.7% accuracy) suggest control, while Levante’s win rate is just 16%. |
| Both Teams to Score – Yes | Evens @ SkyBet (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both sides average over a goal per match and have defensive vulnerabilities (Levante 32 conceded, Elche 26). Four of the last five H2Hs have seen both score, with 10 goals split evenly across those games. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
Elche’s measured, possession-heavy approach is reflected in their standing – 8th, with a +1 goal difference, compared to Levante’s 19th and a -11 deficit. Levante’s low win rate and minus goal difference highlight their struggles, while Elche’s consistency sees them with more than double the points.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 8 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 24 |
| Levante | 19 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 14 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Rafael Mir (Elche): 6 goals in 18 games, 48.7% shot accuracy, 1 goal every 219 minutes. Misses chances under pressure but is the most dangerous finisher on the pitch. Questionable for this game but Elche will be desperate to have him on the pitch.
- German Valera (Elche): 4 goals from just 1.05 xG and 5 big chances created, with a standout 88.3% pass accuracy. Creative hub.
- Karl Etta Eyong (Levante): 5 goals in 14 matches, converting all 5 of his big chances. Lower passing numbers but clinical when given a clear sight of goal.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
The last five meetings between Levante and Elche have been closely contested, with each side winning once and three matches ending in draws. Goals have been shared evenly at five apiece.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 29/08/25 | Elche 2-0 Levante | La Liga |
| 25/02/22 | Levante 3-0 Elche | La Liga |
| 18/09/21 | Elche 1-1 Levante | La Liga |
| 24/04/21 | Elche 1-0 Levante | La Liga |
| 21/11/20 | Levante 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
Conclusion: Will Elches quality and possession tell?
Levante’s home advantage and big chance creation keep them competitive, but Elche’s superior ball control, accuracy, and creativity make them worthy favourites. Given Elche’s consistent attacking numbers and Levante’s defensive struggles, the value lies with backing Elche at 11/8 (42.1%) with Bet365 to take all three points.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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