Leeds United welcome West Ham United to Elland Road for a high-stakes clash on Friday 24 October, with kick-off set for 8:00 PM.
Both sides are desperate for points at the wrong end of the table, but it’s West Ham’s dominant head-to-head record that looms largest. Leeds have managed just one win in their last seven meetings with the Hammers, while West Ham arrive still searching for just their second league victory of the season. Will Leeds finally convert their creative promise into goals, or will West Ham’s clinical edge and historical dominance tell once more?
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on recent trends and clear statistical edges, here are our top betting recommendations for this crucial match. We’re particularly confident in a Leeds home result given West Ham’s leaky defence and historic away strength for the hosts. However, both teams’ attacking struggles and defensive frailties make goals markets highly relevant.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United to Win | 5/6 @ Bet365 (54.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Leeds come into this match without the best form backing them up but come up against a West Ham side that fare even worse in the form table. Leeds have won two of their eight games this season whilst West Ham have won just once, not tasting victory in almost two months. Leeds have lost just one of their games at home this season, with West Ham just four points from a possible 12 on the road. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 @ Bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both of these sides are underperforming their xG this season and it doesn’t make pretty reading. Neither side is averaging a goal a game, with Leeds scoring seven goals in eight games and West Ham finding the net just six times. The last three games featuring West Ham have failed to beat the 2.5 goal line, whilst the same can be said of 50% of Leeds games this campaign. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Leeds vs West Ham match odds
How both teams head into Leeds vs West Ham
Leeds come into this game off the back of two losses in a row, with defeats to Tottenham and Burnley leaving them in 16th place in the Premier League. Those defeats have dampened what was a reasonable start to the season for Leeds, who won two and drew two of their opening six games and they’ll be hoping a visit from lowly West Ham is just what they need to get their season back on track. Games featuring Leeds have been fairly low scoring affairs, with just seven goals scored and 13 conceded, although five of those goals came in their 5-0 drubbing by Arsenal earlier in the campaign.
Things are getting a bit desperate for West Ham, with the Hammers picking up just one win so far this season and already seeing a change in manager. Graham Potter has been replaced by Nuno Espirito Santo but results have yet to improve. West Ham enter the game with four losses in their last five games, with their sole point coming from a draw against Everton and, in that period, West Ham have only scored twice. The Hammers have the worst goal difference in the league, with -12, and things need to change quickly if West Ham don’t want to slip into trouble.
Leeds team news
Harry Gray is the only confirmed absentee in the Leeds United squad but there are concerns over four others. Wilfried Gnonto, Noah Okafor, Ethan Ampadu and Pascal Struijk are all doubts through injury or illness and some late decisions could be made over the involvement of all four.
West Ham team news
The injury list isn’t too long for West Ham but George Earthy, Niclas Fullkrug and Konstantinos Mavropanos will all miss out this weekend. Nuno Espirito Santo should have the rest of his squad available for selection, though.
Season Form & Standings
Both sides have endured tough starts – Leeds sit 16th with 8 points from 8 matches (W2 D2 L4, GD -6), while West Ham are in deeper trouble, 19th with just 4 points and a 13% win rate. Defensive woes are clear: Leeds have shipped 13, West Ham a league-high 18. Neither side is firing in attack, with Leeds netting 7 and West Ham 6 so far.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 16 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 |
| West Ham United | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings
West Ham have dominated this fixture, winning five of the last seven encounters. Leeds have only managed one victory in that span, with the Hammers often finding success on the road.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21/05/23 | West Ham 3-1 Leeds | Premier League |
| 04/01/23 | Leeds 2-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| 16/01/22 | West Ham 2-3 Leeds | Premier League |
| 09/01/22 | West Ham 2-0 Leeds | FA Cup |
| 25/09/21 | Leeds 1-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| 08/03/21 | West Ham 2-0 Leeds | Premier League |
| 11/12/20 | Leeds 1-2 West Ham | Premier League |
Conclusion
Will Leeds finally make their chances count against a West Ham side in defensive crisis, or will Bowen’s efficiency and the Hammers’ psychological edge prevail again? This looks a prime spot for Leeds to take three points at 5/6 with Bet365 (54.5% implied), but the frailties on both sides make goals markets and Both Teams To Score equally tempting for punters.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.