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Squawka / News / Leeds vs Arsenal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Leeds vs Arsenal: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Arsenal travel to Elland Road take to take on Leeds on Saturday as they go in search of their first Premier League title since 2004. The Gunners hold a four-point lead at the summit heading into the weekend, and below you can find our best bets and match preview, which includes a 17/2 anytime goal scorer. 

Best Bets & Predictions

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
BTTS: Yes1/1 @ Bet365
(50.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐This bet has landed in seven of Arsenal’s last ten away matches across all competitions and that stability at the back that we saw at the start of the season has not been there in recent weeks. Leeds have been impressive in recent weeks and have not been beaten at home by more than one goal by any team this season. BTTS has landed in eight of Leeds’ last nine matches at home, and at even money this looks a great bet.
Anton Stach Anytime Scorer17/2 @ Bet365
(10.5%)
⭐⭐⭐Seven of the last nine meetings have seen at least three goals. Leeds matches average 3 goals per game this season, and Arsenal have scored 42 in 23 games. Both sides carry attacking threat, but Leeds’ defensive record makes a goal-heavy game likely.

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Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

How both teams go into Leeds vs Arsenal

Leeds were in control at half time at the Hill Dickinson Stadium thanks to James Justin’s early goal, but Everton fought back late as Thierno Barry scored in the final 15 minutes to secure a 1-1 draw. Farke’s side had been chasing a third consecutive win in all competitions after victories over Derby County and Fulham, but the late equaliser denied them that milestone.

The point is still valuable for 16th-placed Leeds as they look to stay clear of the relegation zone. Their strong home form has been key, with just two Premier League losses at Elland Road this season, an unbeaten run of five games since November, and goals scored in ten of their eleven top-flight home matches in 2025-26.

Arsenal’s Premier League title challenge is showing signs of strain as fatigue, recurring issues, and opponents’ resilience have started to catch up with them. Last Sunday, Manchester United produced a dramatic 3-2 comeback at the Emirates, echoing their 2021 Old Trafford victory, leaving both sides of Manchester celebrating while Arsenal struggled to convert their build-up play into clear chances.

Despite still holding the joint-best away record in the league, Arsenal have won only two of their last six Premier League road games, and their 0.39 expected goals from open play highlights ongoing inefficiencies in attack. They did find some relief with a 3-2 Champions League win over Kairat on Wednesday, ending the league phase with a perfect record, but the second half again exposed the side’s attacking limitations.

Leeds team news

Lukas Nmecha is out with a thigh injury. Gabriel Gudmundsson and Dan James face late fitness tests.

Arsenal team news

William Saliba and Jurrien Timber could return, Max Dowmnan remains on the treatment table.

Season Form & Standings

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal12315534217+2550
Leeds16236893138-726

Head-to-Head

Last 6 Meetings

Arsenal have won five of the last six meetings between the sides, with Leeds failing to register a single victory during that stretch and scoring only three goals to Arsenal’s sixteen.

DateScoreCompetition
23/08/25Arsenal 5-0 LeedsPremier League
01/04/23Arsenal 4-1 LeedsPremier League
16/10/22Leeds 0-1 ArsenalPremier League
08/05/22Arsenal 2-1 LeedsPremier League
18/12/21Leeds 1-4 ArsenalPremier League
26/10/21Arsenal 2-0 LeedsLeague Cup

Will Arsenal’s dominance continue despite Leeds’ home advantage?

The numbers all point to Arsenal maintaining their grip at the top, but Leeds do have attacking weapons capable of making it uncomfortable. The bet on the card looks to be backing both teams to score at even money, while Anton Stach stands out at a big price in the anytime scorer market.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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