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Squawka / News / Lazio vs Bologna: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Lazio vs Bologna: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Lazio welcome Bologna to the Stadio Olimpico for a Serie A showdown this weekend, with both sides eyeing a crucial three points to fuel their European ambitions.

The 5:00 PM kick-off features two teams separated by just six points in the standings, but with contrasting strengths: Lazio’s defensive resilience faces off against Bologna’s high-tempo attack. The head-to-head record adds extra spice, with recent meetings swinging dramatically from one-sided wins to tight contests.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on current form, team stats and recent head-to-heads, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re especially confident in “Both Teams To Score: No” due to Lazio’s league-leading defensive record and Bologna’s occasional struggles to convert their chances.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Both Teams To Score: No4/6 @ bet365
(60.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Lazio: 7 clean sheets in 13, best defensive record among top teams.
Lazio to Win13/8 @ betfair
(38.5%)
⭐⭐⭐Home side unbeaten in last 3 home H2Hs; defence gives them an edge.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Season Form & Standings

Both clubs remain in the hunt for Europe but with different routes: Bologna’s attack has them 6th, while Lazio’s defensive record keeps them competitive despite being 8th. Recent form sees Bologna with a higher win percentage (54% vs Lazio’s 38%).

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Bologna6137332211+1124
Lazio8135351510+518

Potential Match-Winners

  • Valentin Castellanos (Lazio): Leads the line for Lazio and is a key threat in the box. He’s averaging strong shot numbers and is backed in the goalscorer market at 15/8 (34.8%).
  • Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna): Bologna’s top scorer with 6 goals this season, boasting an impressive 40% shot accuracy—well above the league average. The main creative and goalscoring outlet for the visitors.
  • Ivan Provedel (Lazio): Has kept 7 clean sheets in 13 games, anchoring the best defence among the top eight teams in Serie A.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Lazio and Bologna have traded emphatic wins and stalemates in recent encounters, with no clear dominance but plenty of drama. Notably, last season saw both a 5-0 Bologna thumping and a 3-0 response from Lazio.

DateScoreCompetition
16/03/25Bologna 5-0 LazioSerie A
24/11/24Lazio 3-0 BolognaSerie A
18/02/24Lazio 1-2 BolognaSerie A
03/11/23Bologna 1-0 LazioSerie A
11/03/23Bologna 0-0 LazioSerie A
14/08/22Lazio 2-1 BolognaSerie A

Will Lazio’s defence hold firm against Bologna’s attack?

This contest is set up as a classic clash of styles, with Lazio’s organisation and discipline coming up against a Bologna side that shoots often but sometimes lacks efficiency. The head-to-head history hints at unpredictability, but with home advantage and a rock-solid rearguard, Lazio look well-placed to edge it—especially with a clean sheet. If you’re backing one bet tonight, Both Teams To Score: No at 4/6 with bet365 (60.0%) is our pick for value and probability.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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