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Squawka / News / Juventus vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Juventus vs Fiorentina: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Juventus welcome Fiorentina to Turin in a Serie A clash where form, firepower, and discipline look set to define the contest.

The Bianconeri are pushing for a top-two finish, while Fiorentina, languishing in the lower reaches, desperately seek points to secure their Serie A status. Kick-off is set for 11:30am (UK time) on Sunday at the Allianz Stadium, with the hosts boasting a dominant recent record and far superior season statistics.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Juventus’ defensive resilience and Fiorentina’s struggles to hold leads, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in a home win for Juventus, underpinned by their strong head-to-head superiority and season-long efficiency.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Juventus to Win1/3 @ Bet365
(75.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We’re backing Juventus because they’ve won 9 of the last 19 meetings and have a +29 goal difference this season, while Fiorentina have taken just 8 wins from 36 games and are leaking 1.36 goals per match. The Bianconeri have also kept 16 clean sheets, highlighting their defensive edge.
Both Teams to Score: No4/5 @ Bet365
(55.6%)
⭐⭐⭐Juventus have kept 16 clean sheets and Fiorentina’s attack ranks among the league’s most limited with just 38 scored. The visitors have failed to score in two of their last five matches against Juventus, so another shutout is possible.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.


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Season Form & Standings

Juventus have shown impressive consistency at both ends of the pitch, with a top-three spot reflecting their balanced profile. Fiorentina, meanwhile, have drawn almost as many as they’ve lost, and their negative goal difference points to persistent defensive issues.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Juventus336191165930+2968
Fiorentina1536814143849-1138

Potential Match-Winners

  • Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus): With Juventus scoring 49 goals inside the box and dominating aerially (13 headed goals), Vlahovic should be the focal point in attack and will fancy his chances against a leaky Fiorentina backline.
  • Jonathan David (Juventus): Known for his movement and finishing, David complements Vlahovic in attack and benefits from Juventus’ high pass accuracy (86.7%), often finding himself on the end of quality chances.
  • Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina): One of Fiorentina’s more creative sparks, Gudmundsson’s ability to generate opportunities will be crucial if Fiorentina are to break down Juventus’ robust defence.
  • Filip Kostić (Juventus): With Juventus’ 50% shot accuracy and sharp wing play, Kostić’s deliveries into the box could be a route to goals, especially given Fiorentina’s vulnerability to crosses.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

Juventus hold the edge with three wins in the last six meetings between these two teams, although Fiorentina are unbeaten over the last three contests.

DateScoreCompetition
22/11/25Fiorentina 1-1 JuventusSerie A
16/03/25Fiorentina 3-0 JuventusSerie A
29/12/24Juventus 2-2 FiorentinaSerie A
07/04/24Juventus 1-0 FiorentinaSerie A
05/11/23Fiorentina 0-1 JuventusSerie A
12/02/23Juventus 1-0 FiorentinaSerie A

Conclusion: Will Juventus Maintain Their Fortress?

With Juventus’ strong home form, defensive discipline, and a history of outclassing Fiorentina, it’s hard to see past a home win in Turin. The biggest question is whether Fiorentina can find a way through against a side that gives little away. We’re leaning towards a comfortable Juventus win, and with 1/3 @ Bet365 (75.0%) available, this looks like a banker for accas.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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