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Squawka / News / Internazionale vs Liverpool: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Internazionale vs Liverpool: predictions, stats, tips & odds

The San Siro sets the stage for a heavyweight European clash as Internazionale host Liverpool in a mouthwatering UEFA Champions League tie.

With both teams boasting attacking flair and high possession styles, this encounter on Tuesday night promises a tactical battle between Inter’s disciplined defence and Liverpool’s relentless forward line. Recent history between the sides is finely poised, and with group stage points at a premium, expect a fiercely contested fixture in Milan.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on recent form, sharp attacking numbers, and defensive contrasts, here are our top betting recommendations for this high-stakes encounter. We’re particularly confident in Internazionale to win, given their outstanding defensive record and home form.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Internazionale to Win6/5 @ BOYLE Sports
(45.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Inter Milan is heavily favored due to their exceptional form and Liverpool’s defensive crisis. Inter has won ten consecutive matches, scoring 24 goals while conceding only two. In the Champions League, Inter boasts a superior defensive record, conceding just 3 goals (0.6 per match) compared to Liverpool’s recent defensive struggles, which include nine defeats in their last 15 matches across all competitions. Inter’s current momentum, combined with Liverpool’s dire defensive form, provides a clear statistical advantage for an Inter victory.
Over 2.5 Goals13/10 @ BOYLE Sports
(43.5%)
⭐⭐⭐The match is statistically primed for Over 2.5 Goals. Inter Milan’s attack is prolific, averaging 2.4 goals scored per Champions League match, and seven of their last ten games across all competitions have seen three or more goals. Liverpool’s recent defensive struggles, conceding eight goals in their last five matches, further contribute to the high-scoring potential. The combined offensive power and Liverpool’s defensive fragility create a high probability for a goal-filled encounter exceeding the 2.5 goal threshold.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Inter vs Liverpool match odds

How both teams head into Inter vs Liverpool

Inter have been in superb form in the Champions League, winning four of their opening five games and occupying fourth place in the group stage. They suffered a loss, 2-1 against Atletico Madrid, last time out but their previous four results saw them score 11 times and concede just once. This form has carried over from Serie A, where Inter currently sit second having won 10 of their 14 games, conceding less than a goal a game on average while scoring more than two goals a game.

Much has been made of the crisis at Liverpool but it looks as though things could be turning around, albeit slowly. They are unbeaten in three in the Premier League (although they have drawn two of those) and have won three of their five Champions League games. It’s a string of results that have left them in 13th position in the group stage, just one point outside the automatic qualification places. They’ve scored 10 goals in their five Champions League game but their issues in defence are something that has blighted them both domestically and in Europe, where they’ve conceded eight times.

Inter team news

Matteo Darmian, Raffaele Di Gennaro, Denzel Dumfries and Tomas Palacios will all miss out through injury but there is expected to be places in the starting eleven for Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram and Nicolo Barella.

Liverpool team news

Liverpool are only likely to be missing Jeremie Frimpong from their Champions League squad, meaning that Conor Bradley will continue at right back. There are major question marks over whether Mo Salah will be in the squad after his outburst at the weekend and indications are that he will not travel with his teammates.

Season Form & Standings

Both teams have played 5 Champions League matches. Internazionale sit 4th in the table with 12 points and a +9 goal difference, while Liverpool are 13th with 9 points and a +2 margin, highlighting Inter’s more robust defence and consistency.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Internazionale45401123+912
Liverpool135302108+29

Head-to-Head: Last 2 Meetings

These teams have met just twice in recent European competition, with each side winning once. Both matches were decided away from home.

DateScoreCompetition
08/03/22Liverpool 0-1 InternazionaleChampions League
16/02/22Internazionale 0-2 LiverpoolChampions League

Conclusion

Can Internazionale’s defensive discipline overcome Liverpool’s attacking power, or will the Reds’ creative edge find a way through in Milan? With both teams sharing possession and chance creation stats, but Inter offering a superior defensive record, our top tip is to back the hosts at 6/5 (45.5%) @ Bet365 for a valuable home win.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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