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Squawka / News / Hull City vs Middlesbrough: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Hull City vs Middlesbrough: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Hull City host Middlesbrough at the MKM Stadium in a contest shaped by contrasting philosophies and recent fortunes.

The 2025/26 Championship campaign sees Hull’s sharp attack facing Middlesbrough’s disciplined, possession-heavy approach. Both sides are jostling for crucial points, with the match set for a high-stakes Friday evening. Recent head-to-heads tip in Middlesbrough’s favour, but Hull’s clinical edge in front of goal promises a compelling tactical battle as these two rivals renew hostilities.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Hull City’s efficiency in front of goal and Middlesbrough’s defensive solidity, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Middlesbrough avoiding defeat thanks to their Championship-best pass accuracy and consistent ability to restrict opponents’ chances.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Middlesbrough Double Chance1/3 @ Bet365
(75.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Only 3 losses in 18; 5 clean sheets suggest strong draw/no bet value.
Both Teams to Score – Yes7/10 @ Bet Tom⭐⭐⭐Hull average 1.7 scored/conceded per game; both teams strike regularly.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Middlesbrough are sitting in second, propelled by a possession-based game and defensive resilience, while Hull City’s potent attack keeps them in the playoff hunt despite a leaky backline. Both sides have just reached the halfway mark, making this fixture pivotal for their promotion ambitions.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Middlesbrough2189632419+533
Hull City9188463030028

Potential Match-Winners

  • Joseph Gelhardt (Hull City): 9 goals this season, a remarkable 57.7% shot accuracy, and 18 big chance involvements. Hull’s most potent finisher and creator, averaging a goal contribution every other game.
  • Ryan Giles (Hull City): 7 assists from left-back, 25 key passes, and a pass accuracy of 76.2%. His delivery from set pieces is among the best in the league.
  • Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough): Controls tempo with Middlesbrough’s 83.9% team pass accuracy, pivotal in transitions and often breaking opposition lines.
  • Alfie Jones (Middlesbrough): Anchors a defence with 5 clean sheets—only 19 conceded in 18 matches, highlighting his reliability behind a compact backline.

Head-to-Head: Last 8 Meetings

Middlesbrough have had the upper hand in this fixture, claiming 8 wins to Hull’s 5 in the last 16 encounters. However, recent matches have brought mixed fortunes for both, suggesting a closely contested affair is on the cards.

DateScoreCompetition
01/01/25Hull City 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
30/11/24Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull CityChampionship
10/04/24Hull City 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
13/12/23Middlesbrough 1-2 Hull CityChampionship
19/04/23Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull CityChampionship
01/11/22Hull City 1-3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
09/04/22Middlesbrough 0-1 Hull CityChampionship
02/10/21Hull City 2-0 MiddlesbroughChampionship

Conclusion

Will Hull’s attacking verve break down Middlesbrough’s defensive wall, or will the visitors’ control and discipline see them extend their recent dominance in this fixture? With Hull’s attack firing and Middlesbrough’s backline holding firm, our top selection remains the Middlesbrough Double Chance at 1/3 @ Bet365 (75.0%). For those seeking more value, consider combining with Both Teams to Score. Enjoy the action and good luck with your bets!

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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