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Squawka / News / Hoffenheim vs Augsburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Hoffenheim vs Augsburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Hoffenheim welcome Augsburg to the PreZero Arena this Saturday for a Bundesliga encounter that sees two sides on very different trajectories.

Hoffenheim’s potent attack, which has fired them into the top half, meets an Augsburg side battling at the wrong end of the table. Kick-off is set for 14:30, and with Hoffenheim boasting a dominant record in recent head-to-heads, Augsburg arrive knowing they must defy history and current form to claim a result.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Hoffenheim’s superior attacking stats, their head-to-head dominance, and Augsburg’s defensive fragility, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in a home win thanks to Hoffenheim’s strong goalscoring record and Augsburg’s away struggles.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Hoffenheim to Win7/10 @ Bet365
(58.8%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐10 wins in last 18 H2Hs; 2.0 goals/game this season.
Both Teams to Score – Yes4/7 @ Bet365
(63.6%)
⭐⭐⭐BTTS has landed in 3 of last 5 H2Hs; both sides overperform xG.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

Hoffenheim are 7th after 11 rounds, posting 6 wins and averaging 2 goals scored per match. Augsburg sit 13th, with just 3 wins and the joint-second worst defence in the league (24 goals conceded). Recent form suggests Hoffenheim are more consistent, while Augsburg have struggled for points and defensive solidity.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Hoffenheim7116232217+520
Augsburg13113171524-910

Potential Match-Winners

  • Fisnik Asllani (Hoffenheim): 5 goals from just 1.68 expected goals, highlighting clinical finishing. Averaging nearly a goal every other game.
  • Tim Lemperle (Hoffenheim): 4 goals, shot accuracy above 50%, and balances scoring with creative play.
  • Grischa Prömel (Hoffenheim): 4 goals from midfield, exceptional 82.5% pass accuracy, a threat from deep.
  • Alexis Claude-Maurice (Augsburg): A livewire in attack, but Augsburg’s main threat needs more support.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

Hoffenheim have dominated this fixture historically, winning 10 of the last 18 meetings and outscoring Augsburg 34-16. Recent encounters have been tight, with three draws in the last five, but Augsburg have rarely had the upper hand.

DateScoreCompetition
29/03/25Hoffenheim 1-1 AugsburgBundesliga
10/11/24Augsburg 0-0 HoffenheimBundesliga
07/04/24Hoffenheim 3-1 AugsburgBundesliga
11/11/23Augsburg 1-1 HoffenheimBundesliga
17/02/23Augsburg 1-0 HoffenheimBundesliga

Conclusion

Will Hoffenheim’s superior firepower and home form prove decisive against an Augsburg side that’s been leaky at the back? With the attacking stats and history pointing firmly towards the hosts, Hoffenheim look well placed to deliver, and their win price of 7/10 @ Bet365 (58.8%) reflects both their quality and Augsburg’s vulnerabilities. For those seeking more value, both teams to score and goalscorer markets are also worth a look.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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