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Squawka / News / Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Getafe welcome Atlético Madrid to the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez in a clash that pits La Liga’s defensive grafters against one of this season’s most prolific attacks.

With kick-off set for Sunday, 23 November, both sides arrive with something to prove: Getafe looking to upset the odds after a challenging run, and Atlético aiming to cement their top-four ambitions. The historical record leans heavily towards Atlético, but Getafe’s defensive resolve and home support could be pivotal in this high-stakes encounter.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on Atlético’s attacking dominance and Getafe’s defensive workload, here are our top betting recommendations for this fixture. We’re particularly confident in backing Atlético to win, given their overwhelming head-to-head record and superior goal output.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Atlético Madrid to WinBet365 4/1
(20.0%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backed by 12 wins in last 16 H2Hs; Atlético average 2 goals per game this season.
Julian Alvarez Anytime GoalscorerBet365 7/4
(36.4%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Atlético’s top scorer; 7 goals in 12 matches, 55.6% shot accuracy.

Odds correct at the time of writing.

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Season Form & Standings

Atlético Madrid sit fourth with a +13 goal difference, reflecting a balanced attack and defence. Getafe, in eighth, are negative in goal difference and have struggled for consistency.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Atlético Madrid4127412411+1325
Getafe8125251214-217

Potential Match-Winners

  • Julian Alvarez (Atlético Madrid): 7 goals in 12 games, 55.6% shot accuracy, 51 touches in the opposition box, and 7 big chances created. He’s a threat every time he gets the ball in attacking areas.
  • Alexander Sørloth (Atlético Madrid): Reliable support for Alvarez, with a strong presence in the box and consistent shot output.
  • Luis Milla (Getafe): Chief creator with 6 assists and 46 corners taken, plus 24 big chance assists this season. His delivery from set pieces is Getafe’s main weapon.

 

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Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings

Atlético Madrid have dominated recent meetings, winning 12 of the last 16 encounters against Getafe. The last five matchups have typically seen few goals for the hosts, with Atlético often edging tight contests.

DateScoreCompetition
09/03/25Getafe 2-1 Atlético MadridLa Liga
15/12/24Atlético Madrid 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
15/05/24Getafe 0-3 Atlético MadridLa Liga
19/12/23Atlético Madrid 3-3 GetafeLa Liga
04/02/23Atlético Madrid 1-1 GetafeLa Liga

Conclusion

Given Atlético Madrid’s statistical superiority and Getafe’s defensive focus, the balance tips clearly toward the visitors. Will Atlético’s firepower overcome a stubborn Getafe back line once again? Our prediction leans towards an away win at 4/1 (Bet365, 20.0%)—a price that looks generous given the gulf in form and recent history.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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