Germany will look to build momentum in their World Cup qualifying campaign when they host Luxembourg at the PreZero Arena at 7:45pm on Friday. Currently sitting third in Group A with three points, Germany aim to secure a vital home win to bolster their qualification hopes. Luxembourg, yet to register a point, will be eager to cause an upset on the road.
Our predictions for Germany vs Luxembourg
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany Over 1.5 first half goals | 21/20 @ bet365 (40.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Germany may not be at their peak just yet, but they remain far superior to a Luxembourg side still searching for their first point. Finding value on the favourites is tricky, yet Bet365’s 21/20 odds on Germany scoring over 1.5 goals in the first half looks appealing. Expect the hosts to come out aggressively, aiming to correct the disappointments of the previous international break. |
| Donyell Gnabry to score anytime | 6/4 @ Paddy Power (14.3%) | ⭐⭐ | Serge Gnabry is a strong candidate to score against Malta on Friday. The German winger has a proven track record at international level, regularly finding the net in World Cup qualifiers. With Germany expected to dominate possession and create numerous chances, Gnabry is likely to be at the forefront of their attack. His pace, movement, and finishing ability make him a key goal threat, and at 6/4 to score anytime, backing him to strike looks like a solid value bet. |
How both teams go into Germany vs Luxembourg
Germany finally got back on track with a 3-1 win over Northern Ireland, but cracks are still showing. Julian Nagelsmann’s side stumbled out of the blocks, losing 2-0 to Slovakia in their opening qualifier, and inconsistency has plagued them ever since. Three losses in their last four outings and no back-to-back wins this year underline their struggles. Defensive frailties remain a major concern too, with the team unable to keep a clean sheet in seven straight matches. Even with a win under their belt, Germany will be looking to shore up the gaps before this weekend’s clash.
Luxembourg have struggled to make any impact in Group A so far. After opening their World Cup qualifying campaign with a 3-1 home defeat to Northern Ireland and following that with a narrow 1-0 loss to Slovakia, Jeff Strasser’s side face a daunting task against Germany. Historically, the Red Lions have been overwhelmed by the European giants, including a 7-0 defeat on their last trip to face Germany in 2016. With no competitive wins since November 2023 and just a single goal in over six hours of football, Luxembourg will likely be aiming to frustrate their hosts and keep the score respectable rather than expecting a shock result.
Germany team news
After a strong start to the season with Borussia Dortmund, Karim Adeyemi could earn a starting role, having already contributed five goals or assists in as many matches. Nico Schlotterbeck returns to the squad as well, ready to add defensive solidity for Nagelsmann’s side. Meanwhile, Nathaniel Brown of Eintracht Frankfurt has earned his first senior call-up following an impressive breakthrough campaign. On the other hand, Niklas Fullkrug has been left out entirely after struggling to adapt since his move to West Ham, meaning he will have no involvement this international window.
Luxembourg team news
Kenan Avdusinovic has earned his first call-up to the Luxembourg squad after impressing with Progres Niederkorn, while Tomas de Sousa, yet to make his senior debut for Benfica, is expected to start in midfield. Between the posts, Anthony Moris, who recently joined Al-Khaleej from Royale Union, will take up goalkeeping duties. Seid Korac, who missed the previous qualifier against Slovakia, is set to return to the backline, strengthening Luxembourg’s defence for Friday’s clash.
World Cup qualification standings
| Team (Group A) | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Team (Group A) | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Head-to-head last 4 meetings
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2006 | Germany 7-0 Luxembourg | Friendly |
| 05/06/1998 | Germany 7-0 Luxembourg | Friendly |
| 18/11/1991 | Germany 4-0 Luxembourg | European Championship qualifier |
| 31/10/1990 | Luxembourg 2-3 Germany | European Championship qualifier |
Conclusion
It has been 19 years since these two teams last faced each other, but it’s hard to envisage anything other than a win for Germany. The bookies agree, with a very short odds-on price available in the match result market, but backing the hosts to score Over 1.5 goals looks like the best bet here.