Fiorentina host Pisa in a must-win Serie A clash between two sides in the relegation zone. This game kicks off at 5pm (UK time) on Monday 23rd February at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Best sets & predictions
Based on attacking trends and the current table, our best bets for this fixture focus both sides’ underwhelming attacks. There’s also a case for Pisa’s large number of stalemates.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals | 1/1 @ Bet365 (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | We’re not expecting goals in this game. Fiorentina have scored 29 goals from 38.53 xG, a massive 9.53 under-performance. Pisa, meanwhile, have a -6.5 difference between their xG and goals scored. |
| Draw | 3/1 @ Bet365 (25.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | There could be value backing the draw: 12 of Pisa’s 25 matches have finished level (48%), including their last meeting with Fiorentina. Neither side has a prolific attack, so a low-scoring stalemate remains possible. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Fiorentina vs Pisa odds
Season form & standings
2025-26 season to date: Fiorentina are 18th with 21 points and four wins from 25, while Pisa sit just below in 19th. They’ve managed only one win all season. Both are in desperate need of points to avoid the drop.
| Team | Pos | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 18 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 21 |
| Pisa | 19 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 15 |
Potential match-winners
- Moise Kean (Fiorentina): A versatile forward with a direct style, Kean averages 4.6 shots per 90 and is often at the centre of Fiorentina’s big chances.
- Filip Stojilkovic (Pisa): Pisa’s main goal threat, who scored seven goals in 18 games for Polish side Cracovia before joining in the winter. He’s adept at finding space in the box, even when service is limited.
- Samuele Angori (Pisa): Brings pace and unpredictability on the flank, contributing to Pisa’s 32 big chances and 97 corners won this season.
Head-to-head
Last six meetings
The goalless draw earlier this season was the first meeting between these two sides since 1994. But Fiorentina are unbeaten in their past seven games against Pisa in a run stretching back to 1988.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 | Pisa 0-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 05/03/94 | Pisa 0-0 Fiorentina | Serie B |
| 10/10/93 | Fiorentina 4-1 Pisa | Serie B |
| 24/02/91 | Fiorentina 4-0 Pisa | Serie A |
| 07/10/90 | Pisa 0-4 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| 01/04/89 | Fiorentina 3-0 Pisa | Serie A |
Final thoughts
Will Fiorentina’s higher creativity finally pay dividends or can Pisa frustrate them again? With Pisa’s struggles in turning draws into wins, backing the stalemate at 1/1 @ Bet365 (50.0%) makes strong appeal for bettors seeking value in the relegation dogfight.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
