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Squawka / News / Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz: predictions, stats, tips & odds

Feyenoord return to home soil hoping to reignite their campaign against Austrian side Sturm Graz in what promises to be an intriguing Europa League showdown.

Kick-off is scheduled for 17:45 at De Kuip, Rotterdam, where both sides are looking to put recent group-stage struggles behind them—Feyenoord with only one win in six and Sturm Graz similarly searching for form. The tactical battle is clear: Feyenoord’s attacking flair versus the resilience and set-piece focus of Sturm Graz.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on underlying performance and head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Feyenoord’s superior attacking output at home and the chances of seeing goals, given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities this season.

Our PredictionOdds & BookmakerConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Feyenoord to Win4/11 @ Bet365
(73.3%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐We are backing Feyenoord to win because they have produced nearly twice as many shots as Sturm Graz (82 vs 61), are notably more accurate (52% vs 36%), and scored six without reply the last time Sturm Graz visited Rotterdam.
Over 2.5 Goals4/9 @ Betfair
(69.2%)
⭐⭐⭐There could be value here due to Feyenoord’s leaky defence (13 conceded in 6) and high attacking output, plus the fact that their last home clash with Sturm Graz finished 6-0. Both teams are better going forward than at the back.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.


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Season Form & Standings

Both teams have found European group-stage football tough going, with Feyenoord languishing at the bottom of their group and Sturm Graz only marginally better. Feyenoord’s main issue has been a porous defence, while Sturm Graz have struggled to create and convert chances.

TeamPosPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sturm Graz29611448-44
Feyenoord306105713-63

Potential Match-Winners

  • Ayase Ueda (Feyenoord) – Averaging over 2 shots on target per 90 and regularly finding space in the box, Ueda could be key if Feyenoord’s midfield keeps supplying chances.
  • Luciano Valente (Feyenoord) – A creative midfielder, Valente has delivered a high number of passes into the final third and is involved in most of Feyenoord’s big chance creation.
  • Jon Gorenc Stanković (Sturm Graz) – The engine in midfield, Stanković leads the team in interceptions and successful passes, vital for breaking up Feyenoord attacks and launching counters.
  • Belmin Beganović (Sturm Graz) – The attacker to watch for set pieces; while Sturm Graz rarely score in open play, Beganović’s movement can trouble Feyenoord’s leaky defence on dead balls.

Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings

These teams have met just twice in recent European competition, splitting the results one apiece. Their only previous meetings came in 2000 where the two met in the Champions League.Here are the latest results:

DateScoreCompetition
27/10/22Sturm Graz 1-0 FeyenoordEuropa League
15/09/22Feyenoord 6-0 Sturm GrazEuropa League
23/08/00Feyenoord 1-1 Sturm GrazChampions League
08/08/00Sturm Graz 2-1 FeyenoordChampions League

Conclusion: Final Thoughts

Will Feyenoord’s attacking firepower finally deliver, or can Sturm Graz’s robust defence keep them at bay? With Feyenoord desperate for points and the stats showing both sides are vulnerable at the back, the smart play could be backing the hosts for victory or expecting goals. Our best bet? Feyenoord to win at 4/11 @ Bet365 (73.3%).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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